Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 6.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
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Week 5 Recap 3-2
Small bounceback this past week. Still waiting on that 5-0 week to get us back to positive for the year.
Joe Burrow Over 259.5 Passing Yards- Win
Leonard Fournette Under 86.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards- Loss
Trey Lance Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts- Win
Jakobi Meyers Over 61.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
Cordarelle Patterson Over 41.5 Receiving Yards- Win
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Week 1 |
Week 2 |
Week 3 |
Week 4 |
Week 5 |
Total |
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3-2 |
1-4 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
11-14 |
Week 6 Plays
Aaron Rodgers Under 259.5 Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers has not repeated his 2020 MVP season thus far this year as statistically the Packers quarterback has been a bit off. While he’s guided the Packers to a 4-1 record atop the NFC North, Rodgers is averaging just 248 passing yards per game. This week, he’s facing a Chicago team that record wise he has been outstanding against, but statistically it has been a different story. Since 2016, Rodgers is averaging just 233 passing yards per game against the rival Bears, and he has topped 259.5 yards just 3 times in those 11 games. The Bears defense has had a nice bounceback to this season after an abysmal Week 1 performance against Matthew Stafford. Since that game, the Bears are only allowing 240 passing yards (Mayfield, Burrow, Carr, Goff).
Kareem Hunt Under 87.5 Rushing Yards
With no Nick Chubb this week, this number has officially gone crazy. The number is derived off of a volume of Nick Chubb+ Kareem Hunt, along with the matchup which is an extremely favorable one as Arizona has allowed 139 yards rushing per game. However, the problem here is that Hunt historically hasn’t seen a crazy volume uptick when Chubb has been out. Last season, Chubb missed four games, and in that timeframe Hunt averaged 63.5 rushing yards on 16 carries per game. Expect D’Ernest Johnson to likely still get 5-7 carries in this game, which will limit Hunt’s upside as it is extremely unlikely that the Browns will give Hunt 20+ carries in this game, so if that’s the case you are going to rely on him not breaking a long run which during his time with Cleveland Hunt has not been a big play running back. Hunt has topped just 30 yards on a carry twice in his three seasons with Cleveland. Hunt is also dealing with his own injuries as he is questionable for this game (expected to play), with a knee and wrist injury.
Dalton Schultz Over 44.5 Receiving Yards
Dalton Schultz has been the surprise tight end of this 2021 season thus far. Over the last three games, Schultz has averaged 72 yards with six receptions in each of those three games. The prop numbers are low due to the matchup as the Patriots have allowed the fewest receiving yards to opposing tight ends this season with just 21 yards. Those numbers are incredibly skewed however due to the schedule as the Patriots have faced Miami, NY Jets, New Orleans, Tampa Bay (no Gronkowski), and Houston. Schultz should have an opportunity to continue having success with Dallas just having so many weapons on offense that it makes it impossible for the defense to cover them all.
Ben Roethlisberger Over 255.5 Passing Yards
The results thus far this season have not been pretty for Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers offense, but a lot of this is overblown based on the schedule that they have faced so far this season. Roethlisberger has faced Buffalo, Denver, Green Bay, and Las Vegas which are all in the bottom 10 in terms of passing yards allowed, while Buffalo, Denver, Las Vegas are all in the bottom 5. This week, Roethlisberger gets to play Seattle who are allowing 322 yards passing per game which is the second-highest in the NFL. Even with a difficult schedule, Roethlisberger is averaging 257 yards-per-game, so this should be an easy over.
Latavius Murray Over 43.5 Rushing Yards
Latavius Murray struggled last week against the Colts, but in reality the entire Baltimore rushing attack struggled until the point of falling so far behind that they had to put trust in Lamar Jackson’s arm to bring them back to victory. In terms of snap counts, this is still Murray’s rushing offense as he was on the field for 49% of the plays compared to just 19% for Ty’Son Williams and 27% for Devonta Freeman (who had just one carry). The path to beat the Chargers is relatively simple, it’s on the ground. The Chargers are allowing a league-worst 157.6 rushing yards on the season, and a mind blowing 5.6 yards-per-carry. This will be a heavy rushing attack from Baltimore that we are used to and Murray should play a big role in that.
