Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 12.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays, but typically we stay around 5. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
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Week 11 Recap
Just absolutely crushing last week. Both Justin Fields and Marcus Johnson both got hurt, Christian McCaffrey was looking great in the first half, but D’Andre Swift had a monster second half.
Aaron Rodgers Under 272.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Justin Fields Over 208.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Leonard Fournette Over 64.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Marcus Johnson Over 33.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
Christian McCaffrey More Rushing Yards than DAndre Swift- Loss
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Week 1 |
Week 2 |
Week 3 |
Week 4 |
Week 5 |
Week 6 |
Week 7 |
Week 8 |
Week 9 |
Week 10 |
Week 11 |
Total |
|
3-2 |
1-4 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
4-1 |
4-1 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
1-4 |
0-5 |
25-30 |
Week 12 Plays
Ryan Tannehill Under 217.5 Passing Yards
Tennessee is likely the most injured offensive team in the NFL. This week, they lost both A.J. Brown and Marcus Johnson and are now without A.J. Brown, Julio Jones, Marcus Johnson, and Derrick Henry. The Patriots are quickly turning back into one of the best secondaries in the NFL once again as they have completely dominated the last three weeks allowing just 161 yards passing per game. The Titans are going to struggle to get separation in this game.
Dan Arnold Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
Dan Arnold was game scripted out of the game last week and Urban Meyer was very adamant after the game that can’t happen again and they have to get the ball to Arnold. Prior to last week, Arnold had 60 yards or more in four of his previous five games. The Falcons are allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and are allowing 251 yards passing per game. Dan Arnold is still a primary target for the Jaguars, so in what should be a competitive game, Arnold should have a big role this week.
Najee Harris Over 16.5 Carries
This one seems like an overreaction compared to last week’s performance where Harris had just 12 carries. Prior to that game, Harris had been one of the most consistent volume running backs in the NFL as he had 22 or more carries in five straight games. So why did Harris have just 12 carries last week? The Steelers fell behind 27-10 in the third quarter and quickly abandoned the running game in the second half. The Bengals are allowing 26.3 carries per game, which bodes well for Harris this week.
Carson Wentz Under 252.5 Passing Yards
Tampa Bay’s secondary started as a major problem but has quickly turned the corner as of late. Over the last five games, Tampa has allowed just 187 passing yards per game. The Colts are a low volume passing offense who have been struggling as of late as they are averaging just 143 passing yards over the last two weeks. The Colts have thrown for under 252 yards in five of their last six games with the only game that they threw for more than that was against the lowly Jets. This is a run first offense led by Jonathan Taylor and Wentz should come in close to where Footballguys has him projected which is 234 passing yards.
Tevin Coleman Over 37.5 Rushing Yards
Michael Carter is out for a few weeks with an ankle injury. While Ty Johnson has been involved throughout the year, it should be Tevin Coleman who is going to benefit the most with Carter’s injury. Coleman has been the running back who spells Carter throughout the year while Johnson has been the third down back. Expect these roles to not change this week against Houston. Coleman is more than capable of carrying the ball 13-15 times against a Houston defense that is allowing 117 yards per game rushing. This should be a game that Coleman should have a relatively easy time to get over 37 and closer to 50 yards in this game.
