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Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
UPDATED SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 14th @ 7 AM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Dallas | Atlanta | -8 | 54.5 | 31.25 | ««« | ««« | |
Tampa Bay | Washington | -9.5 | 51 | 30.25 | ««« | ««« | |
Buffalo | NY Jets | -13 | 47.5 | 30.25 | ««« | ««« | «« |
Indianapolis | Jacksonville | -10 | 47.5 | 28.75 | «« | ««« | « |
LA Chargers | Minnesota | -3 | 53.5 | 28.25 | «« | «« | |
Kansas City | Las Vegas | -2.5 | 52 | 27.25 | « | « | |
Baltimore | Miami | -8 | 46 | 27 | « | «« | « |
Arizona | Carolina | -10 | 43 | 26.5 | « | «« | «« |
LA Rams | San Francisco | -3.5 | 49.5 | 26.5 | « | « | |
Green Bay | Seattle | -3.5 | 49.5 | 26.5 | « | « | |
Minnesota | LA Chargers | 3 | 53.5 | 25.25 | |||
Las Vegas | Kansas City | 2.5 | 52 | 24.75 | |||
Pittsburgh | Detroit | -6.5 | 41 | 23.75 | «« | ||
New England | Cleveland | -2.5 | 45 | 23.75 | |||
Tennessee | New Orleans | -3 | 44 | 23.5 | |||
Denver | Philadelphia | -1.5 | 45 | 23.25 | |||
Atlanta | Dallas | 8 | 54.5 | 23.25 | |||
Seattle | Green Bay | 3.5 | 49.5 | 23 | |||
San Francisco | LA Rams | 3.5 | 49.5 | 23 | |||
Philadelphia | Denver | 1.5 | 45 | 21.75 | |||
Cleveland | New England | 2.5 | 45 | 21.25 | |||
Washington | Tampa Bay | 9.5 | 51 | 20.75 | |||
New Orleans | Tennessee | 3 | 44 | 20.5 | |||
Miami | Baltimore | 8 | 46 | 19 | |||
Jacksonville | Indianapolis | 10 | 47.5 | 18.75 | |||
NY Jets | Buffalo | 13 | 47.5 | 17.25 | |||
Detroit | Pittsburgh | 6.5 | 41 | 17.25 | |||
Carolina | Arizona | 10 | 43 | 16.5 |
Bye Weeks: Chicago, Cincinnati, Houston, NY Giants
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Dak Prescott (Cowboys), Tom Brady (Buccaneers), Josh Allen (Bills)
- Running Back: Ezekiel Elliott/Tony Pollard (Cowboys), Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers), Zack Moss/Devin Singletary (Bills), Jonathan Taylor (Colts)
- Receivers: Amari Cooper/CeeDee Lamb/Dalton Schultz (Cowboys), Mike Evans/Chris Godwin/Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers), Stefon Diggs/Emmanuel Sanders/Cole Beasley/Tommy Sweeney (Bills)
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Carson Wentz (Colts), Justin Herbert (Chargers)
- Running Back: James Conner (Cardinals), LeVeon Bell/Devonta Freeman (Ravens), Austin Ekeler (Chargers)
- Receivers: T.Y. Hilton/Michael Pittman/Parris Campbell/Mo Alie-Cox (Colts), Mike Williams/Keenan Allen/Jared Cook/Donald Parham (Chargers)
- Defense: Steelers, Bills, Cardinals
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Colt McCoy (Cardinals), Lamar Jackson (Ravens), Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs), Matthew Stafford (Rams), Aaron Rodgers (Packers)
- Running Back: Darrel Williams (Chiefs), Darryl Henderson (Rams), Aaron Jones (Packers)
- Receivers: Christian Kirk/A.J. Green/Rondale Moore (Cardinals), Marquise Brown/Rashod Bateman/Mark Andrews (Ravens), Tyreek Hill/Mecole Hardman/Travis Kelce (Chiefs), Van Jefferson/Cooper Kupp/Tyler Higbee (Rams), Davante Adams/Allen Lazard/Randall Cobb (Packers)
- Defense: Colts, Ravens