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Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
UPDATED SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 7th @ 8 AM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Buffalo | Jacksonville | -14.5 | 48.5 | 31.5 | ««« | ««« | «« |
LA Rams | Tennessee | -7.5 | 53 | 30.25 | ««« | ««« | |
Dallas | Denver | -10 | 49.5 | 29.75 | «« | ««« | « |
Baltimore | Minnesota | -6 | 50.5 | 28.25 | «« | «« | |
Kansas City | Green Bay | -7 | 48 | 27.5 | «« | ««« | |
Indianapolis | NY Jets | -10 | 45 | 27.5 | «« | ««« | «« |
Miami | Houston | -5.5 | 46.5 | 26 | « | « | |
LA Chargers | Philadelphia | -1.5 | 49.5 | 25.5 | |||
Cincinnati | Cleveland | -2.5 | 47.5 | 25 | |||
Las Vegas | NY Giants | -3 | 46.5 | 24.75 | |||
San Francisco | Arizona | -3 | 45.5 | 24.25 | |||
Philadelphia | LA Chargers | 1.5 | 49.5 | 24 | |||
New Orleans | Atlanta | -6 | 41.5 | 23.75 | « | ||
Pittsburgh | Chicago | -6.5 | 39 | 22.75 | «« | ||
Tennessee | LA Rams | 7.5 | 53 | 22.75 | |||
New England | Carolina | -3.5 | 41.5 | 22.5 | « | ||
Cleveland | Cincinnati | 2.5 | 47.5 | 22.5 | |||
Minnesota | Baltimore | 6 | 50.5 | 22.25 | |||
NY Giants | Las Vegas | 3 | 46.5 | 21.75 | |||
Arizona | San Francisco | 3 | 45.5 | 21.25 | |||
Green Bay | Kansas City | 7 | 48 | 20.5 | |||
Houston | Miami | 5.5 | 46.5 | 20.5 | |||
Denver | Dallas | 10 | 49.5 | 19.75 | |||
Carolina | New England | 3.5 | 41.5 | 19 | |||
Atlanta | New Orleans | 6 | 41.5 | 17.75 | |||
NY Jets | Indianapolis | 10 | 45 | 17.5 | |||
Jacksonville | Buffalo | 14.5 | 48.5 | 17 | |||
Chicago | Pittsburgh | 6.5 | 39 | 16.25 |
Bye Weeks: Detroit, Seattle, Tampa Bay, Washington
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Josh Allen (Bills), Matthew Stafford (Rams)
- Running Back: Devin Singletary/Zack Moss (Bills), Darrell Henderson (Rams), Ezekiel Elliott/Tony Pollard (Cowboys), Darrel Williams (Chiefs), Jonathan Taylor (Colts)
- Receivers: Stefon Diggs/Emmanuel Sanders/Cole Beasley/Tommy Sweeney (Bills), Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp/Van Jefferson/Tyler Higbee (Rams)
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Dak Prescott (Cowboys), Lamar Jackson (Ravens), Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs), Carson Wentz (Colts)
- Running Back: LeVeon Bell/Devonta Freeman (Ravens)
- Receivers: Amari Cooper/CeeDee Lamb/Dalton Schultz (Cowboys), Marquise Brown/Rashod Bateman/Mark Andrews (Ravens), Tyreek Hill/Mecole Hardman/Travis Kelce (Chiefs), T.Y. Hilton/Michael Pittman/Parris Campbell/Mo Alie-Cox (Colts),
- Defense: Steelers, Bills, Colts, Saints
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)
- Running Back: Myles Gaskin (Dolphins)
- Receivers: Jaylen Waddle/Mack Hollins/Mike Gesicki (Dolphins)
- Defense: Patriots, Cowboys