Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites. It offers a fun and unique product. There are no salary caps and no need for lineup builders. You do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) plays in the same game, you can use correlation to your advantage. For example, if you assume that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback also is more likely to throw for more yards. This weekly article will count down the five best props of the week.
5: Thursday Night Special
Dak Prescott MORE than 19.5 fantasy points
Malik Willis MORE than 10.5 fantasy points
- We are going with a 3.5X correlation play here based upon the belief that the Titans rest key starters on both sides of the ball in a game that is meaningless for their playoff hopes and actually run the offense through Willis, with Derrick Henry getting the night off.
- The Titans defense gives up the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and could be without Jeffrey Simmons and other key pass rushers.
- Prescott has topped 20 fantasy points in five of his last eight games and has thrown multiple touchdowns in all but one of those outings.
- This is a great fantasy spot for Malik Willis, and his 10.5-point prop is my favorite of Week 17.
With the #Titans playoff hopes likely resting in the hands of Malik Willis, Mike Vrabel and Todd Downing should use tonight as a laboratory to try out some new, Malik-centric offensive ideas. I took a look at what that approach might look like.https://t.co/i7QE0SWssA
— Mike Herndon (@MikeHerndonNFL) December 29, 2022
- In his three starts this season, Willis has attempted an average of 16.3 passes per game, and the game plan has clearly been to ride Derrick Henry and the defense. That game plan is not an option this week with Henry and key defenders likely sitting out. The Titans should play loose with nothing to lose in this meaningless game the offense should actually run through Willis for the first time in his career.
- Willis put up 10.3 fantasy points just as a runner last week on seven carries and is a virtual lock to run it more this week than he ever has given that Henry is out. It just takes one touchdown run to make hitting the over of 10.5 points a cakewalk.
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