Underdog Exposure Explorer

Photo: Charles LeClaire, USA Today Sports

For those who have drafted multiple best ball teams on Underdog, the app below will help you explore your exposure to gain insight into how much draft value equity you have in a built-in comparison to current ADP, your exposure trends, your weighted leverage versus the field, and your top stacks. Follow the directions below to download your exposure from Underdog in a .csv file, upload it to the app, and then explore.

Here is a quick breakdown of each of the tabs that will be generated from your Exposure Report, along with some screenshots from my own.

Note: If you are familiar with the Underdog Exposure Explorer, click here to jump straight to it. If you aren't familiar, you'll likely want to read the following explanations of what it does.

ADP Value

This report calculates the players for whom you have the most positive and negative ADP equity. For example, if you have drafted Player A 10 times at an average pick of 150 and his current ADP is up to 110, you would have a positive ADP Value of 400 (40 spots of equity multiplied by 10 picks) on that player. So the number is a combination of your average draft spot of the player and the total number of times you selected him. Here is an example of my ADP Value report:

As you can see, I built up some positive equity on Joshua Palmer and Allen Lazard due to drafting them early in the summer before their ADPs rose. On the other hand, I had some early David Bell shares from when he was going much earlier than he is currently.

Please note that a negative ADP value is not always bad. Pat Freiermuth is the player with my highest overall exposure, and I have been fine drafting him a round or so ahead of his ADP to lock him in all summer. That leads to negative draft equity but is not necessarily bad if you believe in the player.

Exposure Trends

This is a fun visualization of which players you are drafting more often now than earlier in the draft season (and vice versa). For example, from my report, these are the players who I am warming up to of late and have been drafting more often:

On the other hand, here are some players who I was drafting more regularly early in the summer but less often of late:

Weighted Leverage

This is the most important tab to spend time exploring.

Based on your draft history, this tab tells you which players you should be rooting hardest for and against if the season started today. The weighted leverage is based on your exposure compared to the field and adjusted based on the player’s ADP. Here is an example of my weighted leverage:

As you can see, it is sorted by absolute value. Two of my top 21 leverage positions are negative (Stefon Diggs and Keenan Allen). Those are two players who I will be rooting against having big seasons because my exposure is much lower than the field. On the other hand, Pat Freiermuth is the player who will be most important to my success in 2022 because he is on nearly half of my rosters.

Why is the leverage calculated on a weighted basis?

Taking a stand against Diggs is much more dangerous than taking a stand against some 17th-round wide receiver. The higher the player’s ADP, the more impactful any hard stand for or against a player will be on your chances of success.

You can also sort by leverage. Here is my weighted leverage sorted low to high:

These are the players to who I am most underexposed. This is a fantastic gut check. How comfortable am I fading this particular group of players? Are there any surprise names that I did not know I was not drafting very often? If so, I may want to increase exposure to those players moving forward.

Stacks

This final tab is pretty self-explanatory. It simply counts the number of times you have drafted any pass catcher in the same draft that you also drafted his quarterback.

As you can see above, I have stacked JaMarr Chase with his quarterback (Joe Burrow) seven times, tied for the most with Kendrick Bourne (with Mac Jones).

Hopefully, all of that makes sense. Here is the tool. Enjoy.

The Underdog Exposure Explorer