Favorite Fantasy Game Environments
- Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins - Over/Under 51.5
- Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings - Over/Under 46.5
Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots
- Bears at home vs. Cardinals - Implied Team Total 24.5
- Packers on road vs. Panthers - Implied Team Total 20.5
- Buccaneers at home vs. Jaguars - Implied Team Total 22.5
- Seahawks on road vs. Titans - Implied Team Total 22
- Browns on road at Texans - Implied Team Total 20
Baker Mayfield just threw for 381 yards and 4 touchdowns last week and now gets to play at home against a struggling Jaguars defense that only ranks 24th in Expected Points Added per Play (EPA/Play) and 22nd in Dropback EPA Allowed since Week 8. Mayfield leads a Buccaneers offense that ranks 13th in EPA/Play and ninth in Dropback EPA and he ranks tenth in pass touchdowns per game (1.7).
Nick Mullens is affordable at just $5,300, is surrounded by talent everywhere in Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, and Ty Chandler, and gets to play at home in a good matchup against a Lions defense that ranks just 16th in EPA/Play Allowed and 23rd in Dropback EPA Allowed since Week 8.
Joe Flacco shockingly leads the NFL in passing yards per game (313) and pass touchdowns per game (2.3). He's affordable at just $5,500 and has a favorable matchup against a Texans defense that ranks 18th in EPA/Play Allowed and 24th in Dropback EPA Allowed since Week 8.
Kevin O'Connell reported Ty Chandler will be the lead back this week after putting his talent and juice on display last week turning 26 touches into 157 total yards and 1 touchdown. And fellow running back Alexander Mattison is questionable after missing last week. Chandler is at home against an average Lions defense that ranks 16th in EPA/Play Allowed since Week 8. Chandler is a cash game lock.
Raheem Mostert ranks tied for first in touchdowns (20) and figures to be a large part of Miami's game plan a week after the Buffalo Bills ran for 266 total yards on this Cowboys defense. Dallas' defense only ranks 26th in EPA/Play Allowed since Week 8.
Even with Dameon Pierce active, Devin Singletary still saw 31 opportunities last week and turned 30 touches into 170 total yards. Without C.J. Stroud for a second straight game, Singletary once again projects to be the focal point of Houston's offense. He's at home against a Browns defense that only ranks 27th in Rush EPA Allowed since Week 8.
Things look very bleak for the New York Jets offense but Breece Hall is still extremely talented and gets to attack a Commanders defense that ranks dead last in EPA/Play since Week 8. Hall had seen 26 targets in the three-game stretch before last week. He's a dual-threat that can get there in multiple ways priced at just $6,100.
Jerome Ford projects to benefit from the absence of C.J. Stroud. The Texans are currently 2.5-point favorites but that will come down once Stroud is officially ruled out. Ford projects to work with a favorable rushing game script and ranks 24th in the entire NFL in opportunities per game (16.4).
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