There are NFL teams that have a ton of uncertainty in their wide receiver corps. Admittedly, solving the riddles these teams have presented is difficult. It's a common strategy to avoid making these decisions. After all, if you don't decide, you can't be wrong. And being wrong gives you a losing team.
But you also can't be correct. And being correct makes you more likely to have a league-winning roster. To quote Ricky Bobby:
Three teams are giving us a chance to make first-place decisions. Our staff is here to look at these teams and determine how their uncertain WR rooms will shake out, both for redraft and in dynasty leagues.
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Uncertain WR Room: Houston
Hutchinson Brown - The Texans have one of the most talented wide receiver trios in all of football; out of these three, I want Tank Dell. C.J. Stroud told this team to draft him; every time Stroud talks about Dell, it's always so positive that it's clear that Dell is one of his favorites. Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs are great. But it's clear Dell and Stroud have a very strong relationship, and I expect Dell to lead the team in receiving by year's end, assuming he is healthy. He was on pace for 1,000 yards as a rookie; I'm looking for even bigger things from him in 2024.
Jason Wood – This is an incredibly fluid situation, and I have low confidence in my Texans model right now because Stefon Diggs is arguably the best receiver on the roster. Further, the Texans know they can’t turn him into a complementary piece if they hope to keep him happy and not problematic in the locker room. On the other hand, Nico Collins and Tank Dell proved last year they’re more than capable of offensively being fixtures for years to come. For now, I’m giving the edge to Diggs (125 targets) over Collins (118) and Dell (107), and frankly, the ultimate winner here probably comes down to which receiver stays healthy. From a dynasty lens, I prefer Collins. Of the two young receivers, Collins is more versatile and durable.
Uncertain WR Room: Green Bay
Jason Wood - I have Jayden Reed leading the way with 105 targets, although I also have Christian Watson (90) and Romeo Doubs (85) closely behind. Reed looked the most impressive to me last year. Yes, Doubs slightly out-targeted Reed, and both had eight touchdowns, but Reed had a 68% catch rate and showed more route versatility. All of these guys are young (23 or 24 years old), but the time will quickly approach when the Packers need to commit to one or two of them financially.
Leo Paciga - This is an offense I want to invest in, but I want the best price point regarding acquisition cost, especially because the top four WRs on this roster are all close when looking at the future trajectory. My best guess is Jaydeen Reed will lead the team in targets in 2024, but Dontayvion Wicks is the wide receiver I’d look to add in dynasty. Wicks is ranked behind Reed, Christian Watson, and Romeo Doubs on most consensus value boards. Still, his 50.5% win rate against man coverage (fourth overall), his overall skill set, and the fact he had at least four targets in eight of his final nine games all tell me he’s the WR to roster when factoring upside vs current acquisition cost.