Last season marked a high point in Dak Prescott's career. He led the league in passing touchdowns and ranked Top 5 in almost every other passing statistic. Fantasy managers with the foresight to draft the Dallas quarterback were undoubtedly thrilled, as only Josh Allen scored more fantasy points.
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While 2023 was a stellar year, the potential for an even better performance from Prescott in 2024 is not far-fetched, especially with the possibility of a decline in the Dallas running game.
Playing at an Elite Level
Dak Prescott's finish as the No. 2 quarterback in fantasy last season likely surprised many, but he's been playing at a high level for quite some time. Here are Prescott's stats going back to 2019:
| Season | Team | Games | CMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | Rush | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | DAL | 16 | 388 | 596 | 65.1 | 4902 | 30 | 11 | 52 | 277 | 3 |
| 2020 | DAL | 5 | 151 | 222 | 68 | 1856 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 93 | 3 |
| 2021 | DAL | 16 | 410 | 596 | 69 | 4449 | 37 | 10 | 48 | 146 | 1 |
| 2022 | DAL | 12 | 261 | 394 | 66 | 2860 | 23 | 15 | 45 | 182 | 1 |
| 2023 | DAL | 17 | 410 | 590 | 70 | 4516 | 36 | 9 | 55 | 242 | 2 |
It's worth noting that injuries during the 2020 and 2022 seasons significantly hampered Prescott's ability to make a fantasy impact. However, if we delve into his per-game numbers, it becomes clear that his 2023 success was a testament to his consistent performance rather than a stroke of luck.
Over the past five seasons, Prescott has played 66 games, amassing 18,583 yards and 135 touchdown passes. Those stats average out to 281 yards and just over two touchdowns per game. Projected over a 17-game season, he would finish with 4,786 yards and 34 touchdowns, almost mirroring his 2023 season.
Notably, since 2019, even with Dak Prescott missing 17 games, only six quarterbacks have thrown for more yards, and only five have more touchdown passes. Based on Prescott's averages, if he had played 16 games per season, only Patrick Mahomes II would have more yards or touchdowns.