Two-Game Slate
- Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons - Over/Under 48.5; Bills -3.5
- Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders - Over/Under 49.5; Commanders -4.5
Implied Team Totals
- Washington Commanders 27
- Buffalo Bills 26
- Atlanta Falcons 22.5
- Chicago Bears 22.5
Quarterbacks
Josh Allen is the QB1 in Standard FootballGuys points per game (24). He leads a Bills offense that ranks second in EPA/Play. Atlanta's defense has been strong this season, but we're talking about the perennially elite Allen. The Bills have the second-highest Implied Team Total (26) on this slate and are only one point behind the Commanders.
Jayden Daniels returned last week, and despite wearing a knee brace, looked healthy while rushing eight times for 39 yards. Daniels leads a Commanders offense that ranks tenth in EPA/Play, fifth in Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE), and 11th in Early Down Pass Frequency (EDPF), and they're Implied Team Total (27) is the highest on this slate. Daniels gets to play at home against an unimposing Bears defense.
Caleb Williams ranks fourth in touchdown passes per game (2) and leads a Bears offense that ranks sixth in EDPF. Both games on this slate project as favorable for fantasy, but this Bears at Commanders contest does have an Over/Under one point higher than the other matchup. And the Commanders' defense is not one to shy away from, as they rank middle of the pack in EPA/Play Allowed (17th) and 19th in Dropback EPA Allowed. Head coach Ben Johnson has had two weeks to prepare for this matchup with the Bears coming off their bye.