Prop Talk: Week 4

Utilizing our tools, rankings, projections, and insights to find accessible player prop lines across various sportsbooks.

Sam Wagman's Prop Talk: Week 4 Sam Wagman Published 09/26/2025

Welcome back to NFL Prop Talk, highlighting the best Week 4 NFL player props!

We went 2-3 on last week's props, bringing our record to 5-10 for the 2025 NFL season. Getting this article for free is a great reason to sign up for the DFS package, as it's just a small taste of what we can offer!

Prop Talk is Footballguys' leading NFL player props weekly article. We will utilize a combination of Footballguys' fantastic tools, rankings, and projections, along with my insights, to help you determine whether a player will go over or under their weekly player prop number and potentially win some money.

Let's dive right into some Week 4 NFL player props.

Week 4 NFL Player Props

We'll be using many different sportsbooks for these NFL player prop lines. Our advice is to always line-shop at as many sportsbooks as possible to find the best possible line! 

Tetairoa McMillan Over/Under 67.5 Receiving Yards (Hard Rock Bet)

McMillan may have gone under his yardage prop last week for us, but it wasn't because he played poorly. Carolina went up so much against the Atlanta Falcons that they didn't need him.

This week could be different. Drake Maye and the New England Patriots host the Panthers in a matchup that could easily swing the other way if the Panthers aren't careful, and McMillan should be a large part of the game plan.

According to PFF, the Patriots have used man coverage at a 33% rate, the sixth-highest in the NFL so far this season. Despite using man coverage at a high rate, the team struggles against it, ranking in the bottom five in yards allowed per reception. McMillan has garnered a 50% target rate against man coverage among Panthers receivers this season with 0.84 fantasy points per route run, making this a smash spot for the rookie to go over his Week 4 NFL player prop.

PICK: McMillan OVER 67.5 receiving yards (-115)

© Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images Week 4 NFL player props

Jared Goff Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (DraftKings)

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