Just one week into the season it might feel risky to put too much into week 1 results, but week 1 can also give us that first arrow pointing up or down that shows us the prevailing direction of a player's season. Overreacting to week 1 can be harmful, but you shouldn't feel free to underreact by assuming that everything will return to the conditions that we expected when week 1 was very different from our predictions. This year I have devoted the week 2 edition strictly to redraft leagues.

Buy Low

EJ Manuel, QB, BUF - Manuel didn’t have any read option runs in week 1, but you know that element of his game is coming. He looked very comfortable as a passer, and with the additional points as a running quarterback on their way, Manuel could flirt with QB1 territory. Don’t let him sit on the waiver wire.

Terrelle Pryor, QB, OAK - Pryor isn’t going to flourish sitting in the pocket and going deep into his progressions, but he is a handful for defenses when he gets out of the pocket, and Pryor was surprisingly accurate and smooth as a passer. Running quarterbacks have a head start on passers, and there’s no reason that Pryor won’t remain a low QB1 in leagues that have four-point pass touchdowns and no heavy penalties for interceptions.

Reggie Bush, Joique Bell, RB, DET - Bush looked like rookie year Reggie Bush, and he is a perfect system for his talents. He just missed adding two touchdowns at the goal line, and his handcuff Joique Bell should still be relatively cheap even though he had two touchdowns in the opener. Bell looked great in his own right, and might get some share of goal-line carries and steady targets in the passing game. The Lions backfield is probably going to be the most productive one in the league. The offense looked much improved from 2012 and Calvin Johnson will keep those safeties back. Get in while you can.

Daryl Richardson, RB, STL - Richardson passed his first test as the lead back. He ran hard between the tackles, got yards after contact, caught the ball well out of the backfield, and played through a minor ding. Isaiah Pead is no big threat to Richardson, and the offense has the makings of something potent this year.

Eddie Lacy, RB, GB - Lacy fought through a short benching after a fumble, and his rugged style seemed to translate against one of the most stout defenses in the league. He should have the job to himself and his confidence will be growing as the Packers go home this week to face Washington. His modest stats conceal the potential for a lot more this year.

Shane Vereen, RB, NE - Vereen looked like a PPR RB1 in the making, so if he is dropped in your league, see if you can find a way to carry him to his potential activation on the cusp of the fantasy playoffs.

Dez Bryant, WR, DAL - Some players are just too good to be kept down. Take his owners temperature just to see if there’s an opening to steal him in a trade.

Chris Givens, WR, STL - Givens was quiet in week 1, but Jared Cook was anything but. When defenses adjust and try to take away Cook, Givens will have more opportunties to get the downfield targets in this up and coming offense.

Garrett Graham, TE, HOU - Put Graham on your waiver wire speed dial list, as Owen Daniels is already dinged up, and Graham appears to offer a lot of the same things, with fresher, younger legs. If Daniels misses time, Graham will be an instant TE1 with this role to himself.

Sell High

Cam Newton, QB, CAR - Newton didn’t look like an elite fantasy quarterback in week1, heck, he didn’t even look like a QB1. Without a heavy dose of read option runs and goal line carries, Newton is a boring fantasy quarterback. The Panthers have a good defense and could keep games low-scoring this year. With so much talent and numbers at quarterback this year, it’s a good idea to see if you can recoup close to the value you paid for Newton in the draft.

Doug Martin, RB, TB - Martin is coming off of a poor week, but his value is still very high as many have him written in the elite RB tier in pen. If Josh Freeman doesn’t pick up his play soon, head coach Greg Schiano will pull the ripcord and Martin owners will have the starting running back on a team with a third-round rookie starting quarterback. The ride to that point could get bumpy. Just know if you are keeping Martin when you could swap him for a Reggie Bush or Trent Richardson, you’re betting in part on Josh Freeman getting things figured out.

Lamar Miller, RB, MIA - He did nothing in week 1, but the trailing 4th/5th round pick value might still be the best sell high moment you can get. The offensive line was horrid, Miller was clearly in a timeshare with Daniel Thomas, and nothing happened that would make the coaches revisit that this week. Offensive coordinator Mike Sherman has said that they’ll throw every down if they have to. That’s not a ringing endorsement of the running game. See if you can get Daryl Richardson or DeAngelo Williams for Miller.

Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAX - Chad Henne couldn’t beat out Blaine Gabbert in camp, but he’s starting now. The Jaguars offense was by far the worst on the field in the week 1, and Jones-Drew revealed that he had hesitation about his ability to come back early in camp, counter to his comments that he felt great, which he admitted were lies. He said he feels good now, but I wouldn’t feel good about having Jones-Drew as my RB2. Hope that you can cash in on name brand value.

Julian Edelman, WR, NE - If you need Edelman, hang on to him and ride him as long as you can. If he’s not one of your top three wide receivers right now, it’s a smart move to flip him to a wide receiver-needy team for help elsewhere. Edelman’s injury history is arguably worse than Danny Amendola’s.

Vincent Jackson, WR, TB - By no means should you bail on Jackson, because he’s playing as well as he has in his entire career. There is some added risk that Tampa could collapse with Mike Glennon then getting the call, which would tarnish Jackson’s outlook. If you can swap him for a similarly drafted wide receiver like Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, or Victor Cruz, it’s a good idea.

Jermichael Finley, TE, GB - Finley did well to redeem himself with his diving run for the end zone, but he did remind us of his inconsistency, and James Jones was barely involved in the offense. With more balance, Finley’s role will stay capped, and he is already a little banged up. Finley looked stronger in the upper body and more athletic, but he wasn’t used a big downfield threat. Of all of the week 1 pleasant surprises at tight end, Finley is the one with the smallest chance of maintaining TE1 numbers all year.