Staff Against the Spread Picks, Week 16

Footballguys Staff's Staff Against the Spread Picks, Week 16 Footballguys Staff Published 12/23/2021

Footballguys is proud to return the Footballguys' staff Against the Spread Pool Challenge. Multiple staff members will pick the winner of their eight most confident NFL games against the Las Vegas line. Winners will be announced from week to week, and the best overall record will be crowned Against the Spread Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices.

Please note that this contest should NOT be viewed as direct sports wagering advice, especially later in the season. Since the staff is trying to beat one another, picks may be made to go against the grain trying to catch up in the standings. This example of game theory is more in tune with playing a contest such as this - so again, do not use these picks as direct advice towards which games to pick every week. Rather, use these picks to see the top choices each week, especially the staff members towards the top of the standings.

Here are the specifics:

  • It lasts for 18 weeks
  • Pick 8 games against the spread each week
  • Games are not weighted; each game correctly picked is worth one point in the standings
  • If you miss a week, you will be awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
  • Standing will be determined by the total correct picks
  • Tiebreaker: number of weeks with the most number of correct picks

Last Week's Picks

  • Correct picks are in bold.
  • LW is the number of points earned last week.
  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
Visiting Team KC LV NE ARI CAR DAL HOU NYJ TEN WAS ATL CIN GB SEA NO MIN
Home Team LAC CLE IND DET BUF NYG JAC MIA PIT PHI SF DEN BAL LAR TB CHI
Home Line +3.5 -6.5 -2.5 +13.5 -10.5 +10.5 -3.5 -8.5 +1.5 -4.5 -8.5 -1.5 +4.5 -6.5 -11.5 +3.5 LW YTD
Aaron Rudnicki NE BUF HOU MIA GB LAR NO CHI 4 62
Andrew Garda NE TEN SF CIN GB LAR TB MIN 4 42
Andy Hicks LV IND JAC TEN ATL DEN LAR NO 4 57
Ben Cummins LAC LV NE DAL HOU MIA SF GB 4 67
Clayton Gray LV NE NYG HOU NYJ PHI DEN SEA 4 58
Dan Hindery KC CLE BUF HOU PIT SF BAL LAR 7 59
Danny Tuccitto LAC NE DET CAR NYG HOU MIA BAL 3 48
Jason Wood CLE NE BUF HOU PHI SF CIN MIN 6 63
Jeff Bell KC LV NE BUF SF CIN LAR MIN 7 59
Jeff Tefertiller NE ARI BUF DAL MIA PHI GB LAR 4 68
Justin Howe LAC LV NE DET CAR NYG JAC GB 2 46
Keith Roberts LAC LV NE DET TEN GB LAR TB 3 57
Matt Bitonti ARI DAL MIA TEN PHI DEN GB MIN 3 56
Matt Carey CLE ARI BUF DAL TEN SF GB LAR 4 68
Phil Alexander DET BUF MIA PIT ATL CIN SEA NO 5 62
Sean Settle KC LV HOU TEN CIN GB LAR MIN 6 55
Will Grant KC MIA TEN WAS SF GB LAR MIN 4 57

Standings

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
  • Wk01 is the number of points earned in Week 1.
  • Etc.
  • People who missed picking for a week are awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
Player Total Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Wk18
Jeff Tefertiller 68 4 4 *6 6 5 5 5 3 3 2 4 *5 5 *7 4
Matt Carey 68 *6 3 5 4 4 5 4 *5 3 3 4 *5 6 *7 4
Ben Cummins 67 5 4 4 6 3 4 *7 3 3 3 *5 3 *7 6 4
Jason Wood 63 5 4 3 5 5 *6 2 3 4 2 4 3 4 *7 6
Aaron Rudnicki 62 4 4 4 4 *6 5 4 2 *6 3 4 4 4 4 4
Phil Alexander 62 4 3 3 4 5 2 5 4 3 *5 *5 4 6 4 5
Dan Hindery 59 *6 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 3 1 *5 4 2 3 *7
Jeff Bell 59 0 2 5 6 5 4 5 4 4 1 3 1 6 6 *7
Clayton Gray 58 3 3 3 6 4 4 6 3 2 *5 4 3 6 2 4
Andy Hicks 57 5 4 4 5 1 4 4 4 *6 2 4 3 3 4 4
Keith Roberts 57 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 2 0 *5 *5 5 *7 3
William Grant 57 3 3 2 4 4 3 6 4 4 3 *5 3 6 3 4
Matt Bitonti 56 5 2 5 2 4 4 5 *5 3 3 *5 2 4 4 3
Sean Settle 55 0 4 3 6 4 5 4 *5 0 1 *5 4 4 4 6
Ryan Weisse 49 3 *5 2 5 4 4 3 3 4 1 2 4 4 4 1
Danny Tuccitto 48 2 4 5 2 5 1 5 4 2 4 3 0 *7 1 3
Justin Howe 46 *6 4 4 3 3 0 4 3 1 4 4 0 5 3 2
Dave Kluge 44 4 3 4 *7 4 2 5 2 5 2 2 0 2 1 1
Andrew Garda 42 3 2 3 3 5 0 3 4 2 3 4 0 2 4 4

This Week's Picks

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.

Visiting Team SF CLE IND BAL BUF DET JAC LAC LAR NYG TB CHI DEN PIT WAS MIA
Home Team TEN GB ARI CIN NE ATL NYJ HOU MIN PHI CAR SEA LV KC DAL NO
Home Line +3.5 -7.5 -0.5 -2.5 -2.5 -6.5 -2.5 +9.5 +2.5 -9.5 +10.5 -6.5 -1.5 -9.5 -10.5 -3.5 YTD
Aaron Rudnicki TEN CLE BAL BUF LAC LAR KC MIA 62
Andrew Garda SF GB CIN BUF LAC LAR LV NO 42
Andy Hicks SF CLE IND DET LAR CHI DEN MIA 57
Ben Cummins GB ARI DET JAC LAC PHI KC MIA 67
Clayton Gray GB NYJ MIN NYG CAR CHI LV MIA 58
Dan Hindery IND CIN BUF LAR CHI DEN DAL NO 59
Danny Tuccitto TEN DET JAC MIN NYG CAR WAS MIA 48
Jason Wood SF IND BAL BUF LAC LAR LV DAL 63
Jeff Bell SF IND NE LAC LAR PHI TB MIA 59
Jeff Tefertiller SF GB LAC LAR PHI TB DAL NO 68
Keith Roberts GB ARI CIN BUF NYJ LAR TB KC 57
Matt Bitonti IND BAL BUF DET JAC NYG SEA PIT 56
Matt Carey GB CIN BUF LAC MIN TB KC DAL 68
Ryan Weisse SF GB CIN JAC LAR CAR CHI MIA 49
Sean Settle SF GB ARI CIN BUF DET NYJ LAR 55
Will Grant SF GB IND DET NYJ SEA WAS MIA 57
Away Picks 8 2 6 3 8 6 4 7 10 3 4 4 2 1 2 8
Home Picks 2 9 3 6 1 0 4 0 3 3 3 2 3 4 4 3
Total Picks 10 11 9 9 9 6 8 7 13 6 7 6 5 5 6 11

Odds and Ends

As always, the picks are due by Wednesday night. Most of the staff agree that picking this weekend's games on Wednesday night is very difficult because you don't have much information about injuries and practice. If your league allows you to pick the later games separate from the rest, take advantage of it and make your Sunday and Monday picks as close to the weekend as possible.

A reminder that these picks are against the Las Vegas lines – so getting above 50% is respectable, above 53% gets you into the profitable zone (accounting for the Las Vegas house odds of taking 10% of every losing wager) – and anything above 60% is outstanding. That may sound easy enough, but it is much, much harder than it might seem.

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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