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Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
UPDATED SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27th @ 4 PM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Dallas | Las Vegas | -7 | 51 | 29 | ««« | ««« | |
Tampa Bay | Indianapolis | -3 | 53 | 28 | «« | «« | |
San Francisco | Minnesota | -3.5 | 49 | 26.25 | « | « | |
Buffalo | New Orleans | -4.5 | 46.5 | 25.5 | « | « | |
New England | Tennessee | -7 | 43.5 | 25.25 | « | «« | « |
Baltimore | Cleveland | -3.5 | 47 | 25.25 | « | « | |
Indianapolis | Tampa Bay | 3 | 53 | 25 | « | « | |
LA Chargers | Denver | -2.5 | 47 | 24.75 | |||
LA Rams | Green Bay | -2 | 47 | 24.5 | |||
Philadelphia | NY Giants | -3.5 | 45 | 24.25 | |||
Atlanta | Jacksonville | -2 | 46 | 24 | |||
Cincinnati | Pittsburgh | -3.5 | 44 | 23.75 | |||
Washington | Seattle | -1 | 46.5 | 23.75 | |||
Houston | NY Jets | -2.5 | 44.5 | 23.5 | |||
Seattle | Washington | 1 | 46.5 | 22.75 | |||
Minnesota | San Francisco | 3.5 | 49 | 22.75 | |||
Green Bay | LA Rams | 2 | 47 | 22.5 | |||
Chicago | Detroit | -3.5 | 41.5 | 22.5 | « | ||
Denver | LA Chargers | 2.5 | 47 | 22.25 | |||
Carolina | Miami | -2.5 | 42 | 22.25 | « | ||
Jacksonville | Atlanta | 2 | 46 | 22 | |||
Las Vegas | Dallas | 7 | 51 | 22 | |||
Cleveland | Baltimore | 3.5 | 47 | 21.75 | |||
New Orleans | Buffalo | 4.5 | 46.5 | 21 | |||
NY Jets | Houston | 2.5 | 44.5 | 21 | |||
NY Giants | Philadelphia | 3.5 | 45 | 20.75 | |||
Pittsburgh | Cincinnati | 3.5 | 44 | 20.25 | |||
Miami | Carolina | 2.5 | 42 | 19.75 | |||
Detroit | Chicago | 3.5 | 41.5 | 19 | |||
Tennessee | New England | 7 | 43.5 | 18.25 |
Bye Weeks: Arizona, Kansas City
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Dak Prescott (Cowboys)
- Running Back: Ezekiel Elliott/Tony Pollard (Cowboys)
- Receivers: Michael Gallup/Cedrick Wilson/Noah Brown/Dalton Schultz (Cowboys)
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Tom Brady (Buccaneers)
- Running Back: Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers), Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)
- Receivers: Chris Godwin/Mike Evans/Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers)
- Defense: None
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Jimmy Garoppolo (49ers), Josh Allen (Bills), Mac Jones (Patriots), Lamar Jackson (Ravens), Carson Wentz (Colts)
- Running Back: Jeff Wilson (49ers), Matt Breida/Devin Singletary (Bills), Devonta Freeman (Ravens), Jonathan Taylor (Colts)
- Receivers: Deebo Samuel/Brandon Aiyuk/George Kittle (49ers), Stefon Diggs/Emmanuel Sanders/Cole Beasley/Dawson Knox (Bills), Jakobi Meyers/Nelson Agholor/Kendrick Bourne/Hunter Henry (Patriots), Marquise Brown/Rashod Bateman/Mark Andrews (Ravens), Michael Pittman/Zach Pascal/Mo Alie-Cox (Colts)
- Defense: Patriots, Bears, Panthers