Vegas Value Chart: Week 16

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 16 John Lee Published 12/20/2021

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

UPDATED SUNDAY, DECEMBER 26th @ 9 AM (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
LA Chargers Houston -11 45.5 28.25 «« ««« «
Dallas Washington -9.5 46.5 28 «« ««« «
Kansas City Pittsburgh -10.5 45.5 28 «« ««« «
Tampa Bay Carolina -10.5 43.5 27 « «« ««
Green Bay Cleveland -7.5 45.5 26.5 « «« «
LA Rams Minnesota -3.5 48.5 26 « «
Philadelphia NY Giants -10.5 40.5 25.5 « «« «««
Arizona Indianapolis -1 49 25 « «
Atlanta Detroit -7 42.5 24.75 «
San Francisco Tennessee -3.5 45.5 24.5
Seattle Chicago -7 41.5 24.25 «
Cincinnati Baltimore -7 41.5 24.25
Indianapolis Arizona 1 49 24
Minnesota LA Rams 3.5 48.5 22.5
New England Buffalo -1 43.5 22.25
NY Jets Jacksonville -2 41 21.5 «
Buffalo New England 1 43.5 21.25
Tennessee San Francisco 3.5 45.5 21
Las Vegas Denver 0 41.5 20.75
Denver Las Vegas 0 41.5 20.75 Photos provided by Imagn Images
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