With no Monday night football, Week 17 brings us a massive 13-game main slate. From a big-picture perspective, many of the biggest questions about this slate revolve around weighing recent performance versus longer-term sample sizes. Can the Kansas City and Philadelphia offenses break out of recent slumps against two of the worst defenses in the NFL? Are older players like Stefon Diggs, Travis Kelce, and Austin Ekeler due to break out of recent slumps (while priced down) or is this the new normal for the aging veterans who have been elite fantasy performers over the last handful of seasons?
Quarterback
As noted in previous weeks, I built a simulator that uses Footballguys Consensus projections, combined with my own team-level variance and player-share variance research. For each position, I will show the results of my simulations compared to our Percent Rostered Projections from Devin Knotts. It is important to look at the best tournament plays both in terms of the player’s odds of landing in the best lineup and how those odds compare to the player’s projected ownership. We want a player to pop in at least one (and ideally both) of those two categories. (Note: The format will look slightly different this week due to holiday travel and using a different computer.)
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