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As we race toward August, Footballguys.com will examine one team per weekday with our quick-hitting Team Sleepers feature. These players might not be complete busts, but we will be highlighting players our staff thinks will disappoint this year and underperform their average draft position (ADP).
Go Deeper: See in-depth projections for every Bills player here >>>
This is a weekday series that will stretch through August 1. If you like this and want another, come back the next workday. Another will be here.
Please note that our staff has identified the players listed below. The official Footballguys stance for every Bill can be found on our projections page.
Busts on the Buffalo Bills
- RB James Cook - 6 votes
- TE Dalton Kincaid - 3 votes
- WR Keon Coleman - 1 vote
- EDGE Joey Bosa - 1 vote
- DT Ed Oliver - 1 vote
- WR Joshua Palmer - 1 vote
Reasons RB James Cook Could Be a Bust
- Hutchinson Brown: His 2024 touchdown rate is not repeatable; he’ll likely lose a lot. I am also afraid we see more of Ray Davis in 2025.
- Maurile Tremblay: His ADP banks on last year's 18-TD spike; looming regression plus Ray Davis nibbling make that price fragile.
- Phil Alexander: Ranked 25th in running back opportunity share in 2024, which is a red flag if he doesn’t repeat as the league’s rushing touchdown leader.
- Craig Lakins: Last year's 18 total touchdown pace isn't sustainable. It's hard to feel good about someone who spent their summer wrapped up in a contract battle.
- Jeff Bell: The new contract is not coming; we have seen running backs go into preservation mode in similar circumstances.
- Jeff Blaylock: He averaged one touchdown per 13 carries last season. He won’t be that efficient again.
Reasons TE Dalton Kincaid Could Be a Bust
- Jason Wood: Kincaid has done nothing in two seasons to suggest he has the upside of other receiver-focused tight ends who have taken the league by storm.
- David Zacharias: Sharing tight-end touches in an "Everyone Eats" offense doesn't translate to top-15 TE production.
- Ben Cummins: Kincaid should not be in your draft plans. Dawson Knox played on 50+% of the offensive snaps in 13 of 16 regular-season games and out-snapped Kincaid in all three playoff games last season.
Reasons WR Keon Coleman Could Be a Bust
- Jeff Haseley: I have mixed feelings on Coleman. He could be the best receiver on the team with a step forward, or the exact opposite if no improvement over last year.
Reasons EDGE Joey Bosa Could Be a Bust
- Kyle Bellefeuil: Injuries have plagued Bosa over the past three seasons, and things aren't off to an ideal start with him already suffering a calf strain in OTAs.
Reasons DT Ed Oliver Could Be a Bust
- Tripp Brebner: Oliver is a safe bet to meet his career averages, but IDP gamers always expect more than 5.0 sacks and 50 tackles, milestones he's exceeded just once in 6 seasons.
Reasons WR Joshua Palmer Could Be a Bust
- Andy Hicks: The Chargers were only too happy to let the underachieving receiver go.
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