No position is more unpredictable in fantasy football than kickers. Year after year after year, no position has a lower correlation between where they're drafted before the season and where they finish after the season. No position has a lower correlation between how they score in one week and how they score in the next. No position has a lower correlation between projected points and actual points.
In addition, placekicker is the position that has the smallest spread between the best players and the middle-of-the-pack players for fantasy. Finally, most fantasy GMs will only carry one kicker at a time, which means a dozen or more starting kickers are sitting around on waivers at any given time. Given all of this, it rarely makes sense to devote resources to the position. Instead, GMs are best served by rotating through whichever available kicker has the best weekly matchup.
Every week, I'll rank the situations each kicker finds himself in (ignoring the talent of the kicker himself) to help you find perfectly startable production off the waiver wire.
Week 13 Kicker Results
Every week, we highlight the Top 5 recommendations from our model who are available on waivers in at least 50% of fantasy leagues (per NFL.com roster data). Here's how last week's top options fared.
Harrison Mevis (0 FGs on 0 attempts, 4 XPs, 4 points)
After a pair of field goals in Week 12, Mevis was back to nothing-but-extra-points duty in Week 13. That, combined with a lackluster game overall, resulted in just four points for the kicker, tied for 21st at the position.
Andy Borregales (4 FGs on 5 attempts, 3 XPs, 15 points)
While the Rams' offense couldn't be stopped in the red zone, the Patriots' certainly could; all four of Borregales' made field goals came from 30 yards and in. (His lone miss was from 45.) With 15 points, he was the second-best kicker of the week.
Michael Badgley (1 FG on 1 attempt, 1 XP, 4 points)
Badgley hit the upright on a second extra point, and the Texans' defense shut down a Colts offense that has seemed to be running out of gas in recent weeks. Badgley also tied for 21st among kickers last week.
Wil Lutz (2 FGs on 2 attempts, 3 XPs, 9 points)
The Broncos went to overtime, but Lutz didn't have an opportunity to pad his totals very much; he just chipped in one point during the extra time. It was still enough to push him into a tie for 6th place among kickers in Week 13.
Riley Patterson (4 FGs on 4 attempts, 1 XPs, 13 points)
The Miami Dolphins scored 21 points in the most absurd way possible: four field goals, one touchdown, and a "pick-two" (an intercepted 2-point conversion attempt returned 97 yards for the game-sealing score). That's good news for Patterson, though; he was the #4 kicker in fantasy football.
Kicker Results To Date
To date, Rent-a-Kicker has made 65 weekly recommendations. Those 65 kickers have averaged 7.68 points. Our top three weekly picks average 7.74 points (compared to a long-run average of 7.67). That would currently rank 8th at the position.
Meanwhile, here are the Top 12 kickers by preseason ADP, along with how many points they have scored so far this season. For any week a kicker didn't play (whether due to injury or bye), I will add six points to account for replacement-level performance.
- Brandon Aubrey (109)
- Cameron Dicker (111)
- Jake Bates (94)
- Chris Boswell (93)
- Chase McLaughlin (95)
- Ka'imi Fairbairn (115)
- Harrison Butker (97)
- Jake Elliott (72)
- Cam Little (92)
- Tyler Bass (78)
- Wil Lutz (90)
- Younghoe Koo (70)
The average of our top three freely available kickers each week would score 100.7 points to this point, which matches or exceeds nine of the top twelve kickers by preseason ADP. The average of the top 12 kickers by preseason ADP would score 93.0 points, trailing our picks by nearly 0.6 points per game.
Week 14 Kicker Situations
**Here is a list of the teams with the best matchups based on Vegas projected totals and stadium, along with the expected kicker for each team. The top five players who are on waivers in over 50% of leagues based on NFL.com roster percentages are italicized and will be highlighted in next week's column. The top three players will be included in our running average. Also, note that these rankings specifically apply to situations; teams will occasionally change kickers mid-week, but any endorsements apply equally to whatever kicker winds up eventually getting the start.**