Blind Spot vs Smart Drafting: Wide Receivers

Sorting out the chaos with a big-picture look at fantasy-specific news, notes, and analysis from around the NFL.

Bob Harris's Blind Spot vs Smart Drafting: Wide Receivers Bob Harris Published 08/11/2026

I've spent a lot of time over the last two months sharing my views on many players -- almost exclusively looking at those I believe to be great values.

You're not going to catch me making lists of players I'm avoiding. 

DON'T MISS OUT: Order the 2026 Footballguys Draft Guide before they are all gone.

There will be no "Do Not Draft" list or "These Players Will Destroy Your Roster" discussion.

That's because I have a simple rule when it comes to drafting. The philosophy is this:

Every Player at the Right Price

I believe that, and I draft that way. But it doesn't mean I actually draft every player. 

The whole "right price" thing makes it easy for me to pass on players in favor of others with the potential for high-end outcomes at better prices.

This has kept me from rostering a number of players with a ton of upside.

Yes, those last three words haunt me -- or at least have me revisiting some of them. Often, what feels like a sharp pick might be more of a blind spot.

The difference between a fantasy blind spot and smart drafting is whether new information changes a player's value relative to his price and alternatives -- and when it does, your draft behavior should change with it.

We got the ball rolling on Monday with running backs I've seen differently than the fantasy hive mind has. Today, it'll be wide receivers, starting with my most overlooked asset at the position . . . 

You Don't Bring Me Flowers

IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect Blind Spots

Sometimes perception doesn't fit reality. When it comes to my perception of Ravens wide receiver Ray Flowers, that's undoubtedly true.

The Reality

As ESPN's Jamison Hensley noted, Flowers has established himself as the most decorated wide receiver in Ravens history. The team showed us how they value their star wideout after making him the highest-paid wide receiver in team history.

When asked about Flowers' possible contract extension this offseason, Lamar Jackson said Flowers' value is "out of this world."

Flowers signed a four-year extension with the Ravens last week. It qualifies as "out of this world." 

The deal for the two-time Pro Bowler is for $140 million and includes $108 million guaranteed -- both of which are records for a Ravens wide receiver.

Flowers, who will turn 26 next month, solidified himself as Jackson's most trusted target last season. His 1,211 receiving yards accounted for 36.9 percent of the Ravens' total receiving yards, which was the second-highest share by any player in 2025 behind Seattle's Jaxon Smith-Njigba (44.1 percent).

He set career highs with 86 catches for 1,211 yards. No other Baltimore wide receiver had more than 25 catches or 400 yards in 2025.  

My Perception 

I've viewed Flowers as a hit-or-miss player. Certainly startable, but the upside has been limited by his role in the Ravens' offense. 

In past seasons, the offense used Flowers as a movable chess piece rather than a stationary boundary target. While that meant increased usage across multiple alignments, when the offense isolated him outside on critical downs, it created problems. 

As The Lead's Stefan Macakanja suggested, in those moments, defenses were able to shrink the field and limit his options.

That's why, when the Ravens get into the red zone, the 5-9 Flowers tends to disappear. 

In fact, he's never drawn more than seven end-zone targets and never scored more than five touchdowns in a single season. In 50 career games, Flowers has scored 14 receiving and two rushing touchdowns.

Because of that, ESPN's Mike Clay contends that Flowers' ceiling is lower than that of other top receivers.

Blind Spot or Smart Drafting? 

This has been a multi-season blind spot. I've avoided Flowers for all the reasons outlined above.

But as Footballguy Jeff Blaylock noted last month, "Flowers was the fantasy WR7 last season while playing on a team with the fourth-fewest offensive snaps and lowest pass-play rate in the league."

That's right. He excelled -- finishing in the middle of WR1 territory -- even with Jackson and the Ravens struggling on offense. 

Blaylock further noted that Flowers' 86 catches and 1,211 receiving yards were eighth and sixth in the league, respectively, despite being 31st in routes run (464) and 18th in targets (118).

And even without the touchdown production, Flowers has increased his fantasy production each season, as he looks to improve on last season's WR7 finish.

Given all this, I'm no longer passing on Flowers at his WR15 Average Draft Position (ADP) for similarly priced receivers simply because his touchdown ceiling makes me uncomfortable.  

Instead, it's time I start seeing the potential upside -- especially with a healthy Jackson and a new playcaller in Declan Doyle, who worked under Bears head coach Ben Johnson last year. 

Are We Really Taking an NFL No. 2 Over WR1s?

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