Prop Talk Week 5

Devin Knotts's Prop Talk Week 5 Devin Knotts Published 10/09/2021

Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 5.

All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play

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Week 4 Recap 2-3

Tough week last week as once again we went 2-3, taking the overall record for the season to 8-12.

Derrick Henry Under 122.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Saquon Barkley Under 55.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Jaylen Waddle Over 42.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
Russell Wilson Over 276.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Davis Mills Under 200.5 Passing Yards- Win

Week 1

Week 2

Week 3

Week 4

Total

3-2

1-4

2-3

2-3

8-12

Week 5 Plays

Joe Burrow Over 259.5 Passing Yards

With no Jaire Alexander, the Packers secondary could be in a bit of shambles this week. The Packers tried to trade for Stephon Gilmore but were unable to come to a deal due to salary cap constraints, which leaves them with some significant holes in the secondary. They will rely heavily on Kevin King who has struggled with consistency throughout his career alongside Chandon Sullivan who is one of the worst cornerbacks in football this season. The Bengals are coming off of a dominant passing performance in which Burrow threw for 348 yards against Jacksonville. This is a passing unit that has as much talent as anyone with Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, and Ja’Marr Chase. Look for the Bengals to easily clear the 259.5 number this week.

Leonard Fournette Under 86.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards

Leonard Fournette is all the hype in fantasy circles this week after a very strong performance against the Patriots in a rain-soaked game. The problem with Fournette is consistency. A big reason Fournette was on the field and utilized so often was that the Patriots sold out to stop the pass forcing the Buccaneers to go with a run-heavy game plan. Also, Gio Bernard was inactive last week, and while he was questionable appears as if he should be able to go this week as he was a limited participant throughout the week. Excluding the playoff run, Fournette has topped 86.5 Rushing+Receiving yards just twice in his Tampa Bay tenure.

Trey Lance Over 7.5 Rush Attempts +105

In just a half of football, Lance ran the ball seven times in an attempted comeback for the 49ers. In Lance’s one college season, he averaged 10.5 rush attempts per game. The reason to like this one so much is that with J.J. Watt and Chandler Jones rushing him from the outside expect the rookie to turn to his instincts and try to take off running. The Cardinals have not faced a rushing quarterback like Lance, but did see six rushing attempts from both Matthew Stafford and Trevor Lawrence over the last two weeks.

Jakobi Meyers Over 61.5 Receiving Yards

The Patriots have finally found what appears to be the number one receiver for Mac Jones. Meyers has overcome significant odds as he was an undrafted Free Agent signing that has shown incremental growth each year and is currently on pace to easily beat the 729 yards he had last season. Meyers over the last two weeks has had an astonishing 26 targets catching 17 of those passes. Even with some regression that is inevitable, if Meyers can catch six passes this week against a bad Houston team, expect the Patriots to try to continue to build the connection with Meyers and Jones

Cordarrelle Patterson Over 41.5 Receiving Yards

This is likely a trap set by DraftKings, but it is too tempting not to take. Over his last two games, Patterson has 82 yards receiving in both games, and 58 yards in the game before that. Now, this week, without Calvin Ridley, the number drops down to 41.5? Whether we want to call Patterson a running back or a wide receiver, it doesn’t really matter, but the Jets have struggled with stopping running backs from receiving the ball as they have allowed 72 yards per game receiving to the position which is the most in the NFL.

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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