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KNOW YOUR ENEMIES
If you want to finish at the top of the standings in a mid-to-large field GPP, your roster has to stand out from the crowd. Studying a list of projected roster percentages is a helpful first step, but it lacks the context of how the most popular players fit together under the salary cap.
To gain some insight into how the majority of entrants will allocate their cap space, so you can spend yours differently, let’s think about how the public is most likely to attack roster construction at each position.
Slate Overview- Weird Slate
Look, this is going to be one of the weirdest slates that we’ve had in a long time. The reason for that is that a significant amount of lineup builds are going to look incredibly similar. A significant amount of lineups are going to have the Buffalo/Kansas City Stack with a combination of the running backs benefiting from injury (Stevenson, Benjamin, Walker, and Henderson).
From a game theory perspective, fading some of these players is likely the right move, but it is going to be difficult to swallow given how a lot of these players project. Understanding the roster percentages of each of these games is critical. You can certainly have pieces of these highly rostered players, for example having one or two of the cheap running backs, but just not taking three of them. Or if you want to stack the Kansas City vs Buffalo game, take the Kansas City side of it given the reduced roster percentages of Mahomes and Kelce compared to Allen and Diggs.
Geno Smith surprisingly has been one of the fantasy stars over the last three weeks. Smith has averaged 305 passing yards per game with 2.3 touchdowns against the Falcons, Lions, and Saints. While the competition may not be the most impressive, Arizona has allowed the 8th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks including 27.7 DraftKings points to Jalen Hurts and 37.9 to Patrick Mahomes II.
Tyler Lockett is a player who is just too cheap at just $5,600. Lockett has 75 yards or more in four straight games and finally found the end-zone last week scoring twice against the Saints. Both Lockett and Metcalf are solid plays here, but with an $1,100 price difference, Lockett allows you to spend up elsewhere.
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