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KNOW YOUR Opponents
If you want to finish at the top of the standings in a mid-to-large field GPP, your roster has to stand out from the crowd. Studying a list of projected roster percentages is a helpful first step, but it lacks the context of how the most popular players fit together under the salary cap.
To gain some insight into how the majority of entrants will allocate their cap space, so you can spend yours differently, let’s think about how the public is most likely to attack roster construction at each position.
Slate Overview- Low Scoring Slate
This is a slate in which understanding percent rostered is going to be critical as the DFS community is rallying behind certain games and teams while seemingly ignoring others. For instance, the Dolphins this week are getting all the buzz and their team total is 27.5, while the Cowboys and Raiders are mostly going overlooked outside of their two running backs. The decisions are the same as every week where you need to determine whether you are fading certain players or going with the chalk, but what is different this week is normally we will have a team or two that is close to 30 team point totals. Instead, we have a lot of people putting faith into offenses that are in the 25-27 range, while completely ignoring a team like Seattle at 24 points projected. So finding that team that is going to over perform on a lower scoring slate without the Bills, Chiefs, Chargers, Ravens, Bengals, Packers, and Buccaneers is going to be even more critical than most weeks.
The running backs are going to get most of the roster percentage in this game, but the passing games are sneaky in this one. The Raiders are allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks on the season, and to get Andy Dalton who is coming off of a 361-yard 4 touchdown performance has now been named the starting quarterback even with a healthy Jameis Winston. With no Jarvis Landry or Michael Thomas, the passing game will once again flow through Chris Olave.
On the other side of the ball, a lot of people are completely off of Davante Adams due to him missing practice due to illness this week. With no Marshon Lattimore for the Saints, they do not have anyone to defend the caliber of receiver that Adams brings in this game. The past four weeks, the Saints have allowed the following DraftKings points to these receivers DeAndre Hopkins (23.3), Ja’Marr Chase (35.2), Tyler Lockett (30.4), Justin Jefferson (34.0). This is not a defense that can stop the elite wide receivers, and if this game becomes a high scoring game, it will be because of Adams this week.
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