Cracking DraftKings Week 13

Ben Cummins's Cracking DraftKings Week 13 Ben Cummins Published 12/02/2023

Favorite Fantasy Game Environments

  • San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles - Over/Under 46.5
  • Miami Dolphins at Washington Commanders - Over/Under 49.5
  • Denver Broncos at Houston Texans - Over/Under 47.5

Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots

  • Buccaneers at home vs. Panthers - Implied Team Total 21
  • Steelers at home vs. Cardinals - Implied Team Total 23.5
  • Chargers on road vs. Patriots - Implied Team Total 23.8
  • Lions on road vs. Saints - Implied Team Total 25
  • Rams at home vs. Browns - Implied Team Total 21.5

CASH GAMES

Quarterbacks

Rank Play Opponent Salary
1 Brock Purdy at Eagles $6,100
2 Baker Mayfield vs. Panthers $5,500
3 Justin Herbert at Patriots $8,000

Brock Purdy is playing in the game with the fourth-highest Over/Under (46.5) of the week in a favorable fantasy game where each team and offense should push each other. He's priced at just $6,100, making him a solid salary saver considering he leads a 49ers offense that leads the NFL in Expected Points Added per Play (EPA/Play) and Dropback EPA and ranks top ten in both passing yards per game (261) and pass touchdowns per game (1.7) on the year.

Baker Mayfield is priced at just $5,500 and gets to play at home against the worst team in the league. Carolina's defense ranks 31st in EPA/Play Allowed and 21st in Dropback EPA Allowed.

Despite the Chargers' lack of team success, Justin Herbert has been balling on season-long. Herbert leads a Chargers offense that ranks seventh in EPA/Play, fifth in Dropback EPA, sixth in Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE), and sixth in Early Down Pass Frequency (EDPF). He ranks tenth in passing yards per game (256.9) and sixth in pass touchdowns per game (1.8). The matchup is strong against a bad Patriots team whose defense only ranks 25th in Dropback EPA Allowed.

Running Backs

Rank Play Opponent Salary
1 Zack Moss at Titans $4,600
2 Christian McCaffrey at Eagles $9,000
3 D'Andre Swift vs. 49ers $6,600
4 David Montgomery at Saints $6,500
5 Bijan Robinson at Jets $6,700

Jonathan Taylor's absence makes Zack Moss a free square in both cash and tournaments priced at just $4,600. Over the first four games of the season without Taylor, Moss averaged 24.5 opportunities per game, 129.3 total yards per game, and 1 touchdown. Moss is a smash play against a Titans defense that ranks 26th in EPA/Play Allowed.

Christian McCaffrey is a cash game lock every week. He leads the NFL in opportunities per game (22.8) and total touchdowns (16) and ranks second in total yards per game (120.7). The Eagles' defense ranks middle of the pack in both EPA/Play Allowed (14th) and Rush EPA Allowed (17th).

D'Andre Swift ranks 13th in opportunities per game (18.2), is playing at home in one of the best fantasy games of the week, and the 49ers defense can be had against the run as they rank 27th in Rush EPA Allowed.

David Montgomery ranks 11th in opportunities per game (18.3), 15th in total yards per game (92), and sixth in total touchdowns (9). The Lions are 4.5-point favorites and the Saints defense ranks 18th in Rush EPA Allowed.

It's Bijan Robinson time. Over the past two games: Opportunities: 24 and 22, Total Yards: 106 and 123, and Touchdowns: 1 and 2. The Falcons are three-point favorites against a bad Jets team and their defense only ranks 14th in Rush EPA Allowed.

Already a subscriber?

Continue reading this content with a HALL OF FAME subscription.

Photos provided by Imagn Images

More by Ben Cummins

 

Cracking DraftKings: Conference Championships

Ben Cummins

A weekly overview of DraftKings' cash and GPP contests.

01/23/25 Read More
 

Cracking DraftKings: Divisional Round

Ben Cummins

A weekly overview of DraftKings' cash and GPP contests.

01/17/25 Read More
 

Cracking DraftKings Wild Card Weekend

Ben Cummins

A weekly overview of DraftKings cash and GPP contests.

01/10/25 Read More
 

Cracking DraftKings: Week 18

Ben Cummins

A weekly overview of DraftKings cash and GPP contests.

01/04/25 Read More
 

Cracking DraftKings: Week 17

Ben Cummins

A weekly overview of DraftKings cash and GPP contests.

12/28/24 Read More
 

DraftKings Monday Showdown: Week 16

Ben Cummins

Monday Showdown Analysis: Saints versus Packers

12/23/24 Read More