Vegas Value Chart: Week 13

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 13 John Lee Published 11/26/2019

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

SUMMARY

UPDATED SUNDAY, DECEMBER 1st @ 7 AM (EST)

Thanksgiving Day Slate

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
New Orleans Atlanta -6.5 49 27.75 «« ««
Dallas Buffalo -6.5 46 26.25 «« «« «
Atlanta New Orleans 6.5 49 21.25
Chicago Detroit -3 38.5 20.75 ««
Buffalo Dallas 6.5 46 19.75
Detroit Chicago 3 38.5 17.75

Main Slate

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Kansas City Oakland -11 50 30.5 ««« «««
Philadelphia Miami -10 44.5 27.25 «« ««« ««
Seattle Minnesota -3 50.5 26.75 «« ««
Green Bay NY Giants -6.5 44.5 25.5 « « «
LA Rams Arizona -3 47.5 25.25 « «
Tampa Bay Jacksonville -3 47.5 25.25 « «
Baltimore San Francisco -5.5 44.5 25 « «
Carolina Washington -10 39.5 24.75 « «« «««
New England Houston -3 46 24.5 « «
Minnesota Seattle 3 50.5 23.75
NY Jets Cincinnati -3 42.5 22.75
Jacksonville Tampa Bay 3 47.5 22.25
Arizona LA Rams 3 47.5 22.25 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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