NFL Showdown can be a fickle beast. These contests do not rely on median projections so much as leverage and uniqueness. Fading the highest-rostered plays can be a risky proposition. Typically, your edge will come by identifying the best low-rostered plays and finding clever ways to pair them with the juggernauts of the slate.
This article will have a heavy DraftKings lean simply because the decision-making process is more interesting, given the salary premium attached to the Captain spot. FanDuel's pricing is the same for both MVP and Flex spots. You will usually need the slate's top scorer at MVP, so FanDuel strategy revolves around unique Flex builds.
The advice in this article pertains predominantly to tournament lineups and strategy. For cash lineups, build around median projections. For head-to-head contests, continue to lean into the median projections, but if two options project closely, give the nod to the lowest rostered player.
Game Scripting & Roster Construction
After a dominant 14-3 season that ended with the Birds throttling the Chiefs in Super Bowl LIX, Philadelphia will raise another banner Thursday night before hosting the Dallas Cowboys in pursuit of their third title in nine years. Riding the momentum of 2024, the Eagles made few offseason moves outside the draft, where they used their first five picks to reinforce the defense. Those selections allowed them to part ways with cornerback Darius Slay and deal safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson.
Dallas, on the other hand, enters with far more turbulence. Their most shocking move came just a week ago, when they sent star defender Micah Parsons to Green Bay for DT Kenny Clark and a pair of first-rounders after contract talks fell apart. The trade capped a dreadful offseason for a franchise Jerry Jones insisted was built to “win now.” Their most notable addition was wideout George Pickens, a gifted but volatile player who wore out his welcome in Pittsburgh. They also retooled the backfield by signing Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders after losing Rico Dowdle in free agency.
While I usually discount early-season Vegas lines, it’s telling that oddsmakers project a comfortable 27–20 win for Philadelphia. I tend to agree. The Eagles will be fueled by a raucous home crowd celebrating last year’s title, and I expect them to control much of the game. Still, Dallas has enough offensive firepower to keep things competitive, which makes lopsided lineup builds dangerous. A balanced 4-2 or even 3-3 roster split is the likeliest construction to reach the top of Thursday’s leaderboards.
Injury Roundup
The beauty of Week 1 football is the limited injuries. In this matchup, there are no fantasy-relevant absences to consider when building DFS lineups. Enjoy it while it lasts.
For the sake of completeness, Eagles backup quarterback Tanner McKee will miss this game with a fractured thumb, leaving newly acquired Sam Howell as Jalen Hurts’ understudy.