Vegas Value Chart: Week 4

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 4 John Lee Published 09/29/2020

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

Updated on Sunday, October 4th @ 6 AM (EST)

[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Green Bay Atlanta -7 56.5 31.75 ««« «««
LA Rams NY Giants -13.5 48.5 31 ««« ««« ««
Kansas City New England -10.5 50.5 30.5 ««« «««
Seattle Miami -5.5 54.5 30 ««« «««
Baltimore Washington -14.5 45.5 30 ««« ««« «««
Dallas Cleveland -3.5 56 29.75 «« ««
Houston Minnesota -3.5 54 28.75 «« ««
New Orleans Detroit -3 54 28.5 «« ««
Buffalo Las Vegas -3.5 53.5 28.5 «« ««
Arizona Carolina -3 51.5 27.25 « «
San Francisco Philadelphia -7.5 45.5 26.5 « «« «
Cleveland Dallas 3.5 56 26.25 « «
Cincinnati Jacksonville -2.5 49 25.75
Detroit New Orleans 3 54 25.5
Minnesota Houston 3.5 54 25.25
Las Vegas Buffalo 3.5 53.5 25
Tampa Bay LA Chargers -7 42.5 24.75 « ««
Atlanta Green Bay 7 56.5 24.75 «
Miami Seattle 5.5 54.5 24.5
Carolina Arizona 3 51.5 24.25 Photos provided by Imagn Images
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