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Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) is playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.
In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week.
Week 6 Review
- Last Week: +2
- Season Total: (-3)
- 5, Thursday Night Shot: (-1) We swung for the fences and came up short. This was our only bad pick of the week based upon how the games played out. In particular, we were way off on the amount of success Jalen Hurts would have against this Buccaneers defense.
- 4, Under in NYC: (+2) Stafford came in over 50 yards below his passing prop (he threw for 251) with the game script playing out as predicted and the Rams able to take their foot off of the gas in the first half. Daniel Jones (242 passing yards) also came in under.
- 3, Betting on Youth: (-1) We crushed one half of this by taking Khalil Herbert to rush for more than 35.5 rushing yards (he had 97) but came up just short of the 99.5 yards needed on the other side with Davante Adams (89 receiving yards).
- 2, Young Stars: (-1) We got 17.3 fantasy points from D’Andre Swift, more than we needed but Ja'Marr Chase (4-97-0) came up just short of the 16.5 points we needed to hit both sides of this prop.
- 1, Bills-Titans Superstars: (+3) As last week’s article mentioned, whenever you have a 4X chance on 2.5+ touchdowns and one of the options is Derrick Henry, you have to take it. He got us there by himself with three. Stefon Diggs gave us a fourth touchdown from our trio.
5: TNF Health Questions
- The key to this prop is that we are getting almost a free roll on the scenario in which Beckham suits up and barely plays. Now if he scratches completely, our play would be canceled, which seems like a real possibility as I type this on Thursday morning. However, if he gives it a go and has to leave the game early or is just used as a decoy, we are halfway to a 3X without a ton of risk.
- The reason the Beckham less side makes so much sense is that even without the injury, he still feels like he would be a bad bet to hit the over on 55.5 receiving yards. Beckham has been a shell of himself. He has gone over 30 receiving yards just twice this season.
- On the other side, Javonte Williams is the type of player we want to be backing as often as possible. Talent finds a way and Williams looks like one of the more talented young backs in the league. The carries and usage are going to come.
- Even if we cannot safely project 12-plus carries for Williams every week, he has proven to be the type of player who can get there on less. He has topped 48 rushing yards each of the last three weeks on 7, 8, and 11 carries.
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