Saturday Showdown Week 18

Photo: Douglas DeFelice, USA Today Sports

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NFL Showdown can be a fickle beast. These contests do not rely on median projections so much as leverage and uniqueness. Fading the highest-rostered plays can be a risky proposition. Typically, your edge is going to come by identifying the best low-rostered plays and finding clever ways to pair them with the juggernauts of the slate.

This article will have a heavy DraftKings lean simply because the decision-making process is more interesting, given the salary premium attached to the Captain spot. FanDuel's pricing is the same for both MVP and Flex spots. You will usually need the slate’s top scorer at MVP, so FanDuel strategy revolves around unique Flex builds.

Advice in this article will pertain predominantly to tournament lineups and strategy. For cash lineups, build around median projections. For head-to-head contests, continue to lean into the median projections, but if two options project closely, give the nod to the lowest rostered player.

GAME THEORY

The Tennessee Titans are heading to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars as 6-point underdogs. The game total is set at 40. The Jaguars have everything in their favor in this game. It is going to be difficult to hit on multiple Titans, but that will be the difference on this slate. Joshua Dobbs played admirably with all things considered, but I’m not confident he is going to perform as well as his roster percentage will suggest. Derrick Henry’s track record against Jacksonville is difficult to ignore. Coming off a week of rest, I will be playing Henry regardless of his roster percentage and pairing him with a unique Titans receiver.

INJURY ROUND-UP

• Treylon Burks – Groin – Limited
• Trevor Lawrence – Toe – Limited

CAPTAIN CONSIDERATION

1. Trevor Lawrence
2. Zay Jones
3. Derrick Henry
4. Travis Etienne
5. Christian Kirk

TENNESSEE OFFENSE

QUARTERBACK

Joshua Dobbs $9,000 – Flex

Dobbs played well enough in his first NFL start to secure another opportunity in what essentially amounts to a playoff game. He attempted 39 passes and completed just under half of them. His efficiency was disappointing, but his willingness to attempt deep passes was enticing. I’m not as much interested in investing in Dobbs as I am in his receivers for their deep-shot equity.