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Favorite Fantasy Game Environments
- Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles - Over/Under 48.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans - Over/Under 47.5
- Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals - Over/Under 44.5
Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots
- Chiefs on road vs. Raiders - Implied Team Total 26.5
- Titans at home vs. Panthers - Implied Team Total 20.5
This Cardinals at Rams game is a fun one despite the slightly low 44.5 Vegas total. Kyler Murray has shown no signs of his ACL injury from last season and has a rushing touchdown in each start this year. Murray is at home in a favorable matchup against a Rams defense that ranks 21st in Expected Points Added per Play (EPA/Play) Allowed and 18th in Dropback EPA Allowed.
Matthew Stafford has an even better matchup in this favorable fantasy game against a Cardinals defense that ranks 26th in EPA/Play Allowed and 24th in Dropback EPA Allowed. I'll keep saying it until positive regression hits: Stafford is only averaging one pass touchdown per game despite ranking 11th in passing yards per game (251.1). Stafford likely has a three-touchdown game coming and when it hits he might help win tournaments.
Saquon Barkley leads the NFL in opportunities per game (23.8) and ranks seventh in total yards per game (101.6). He's at home against a Patriots defense that ranks 20th in EPA/Play Allowed.
Alvin Kamara ranks second in opportunities per game (22.9) and tenth in total yards per game (99). The matchup isn't ideal here but look for New Orleans to lean on their workhorse in an important NFC South matchup.
The Raiders and interim head coach Antonio Pierce are going to lean on Josh Jacobs here at home against the Chiefs. Jacobs ranks fourth in opportunities per game (22.4) and has a favorable matchup against a Chiefs defense that only ranks 31st in Rush EPA Allowed.
James Conner has seen 16 and 17 opportunities over the past two games since returning from injury. He has locked in volume here at home in a good matchup against a Rams defense that ranks 21st in EPA/Play Allowed and 24th in Rush EPA Allowed.
The Broncos defense has played lights out ever since their 70-point debacle against the Dolphins. But their run defense is still a weakness. The Broncos defense only ranks 25th in Rush EPA Allowed. With Deshaun Watson on Injured Reserve, look for the Browns to lean on Jerome Ford in this one.
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