Cracking DraftKings: Week 9

A weekly overview of DraftKings cash and GPP contests.

Ben Cummins's Cracking DraftKings: Week 9 Ben Cummins Published 11/02/2024

© Jeff Lange / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Favorite Fantasy Game Environments

  • Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons - Over/Under 51.5
  • Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks - Over/Under 48.5
  • Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills - Over/Under 49.5
  • Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers - Over/Under 48.5

Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots

  • Bengals at home vs Raiders - Implied Team Total 27
  • Eagles at home vs Jaguars - Implied Team Total 26.5
  • Ravens at home vs Broncos - Implied Team Total 27.5
  • Commanders on road vs Giants - Implied Team Total 23.5

CASH GAMES

Quarterbacks

RankPlayerOpponentSalary
1Josh Allenvs Dolphins$7,700
2Jalen Hurtsvs Jaguars$7,800
3Derek Carrat Panthers$5,600

Josh Allen ranks fifth at the quarterback position in DraftKings points per game (20.6) and seventh in pass touchdowns per game (1.8). He leads a Bills offense that ranks second in EPA/Play and 11th in Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE). He's at home in the second-highest Over/Under (49.5) of the week against a Dolphins defense that ranks 18th in EPA/Play Allowed and 23rd in Dropback EPA Allowed.

Jalen Hurts ranks third at the quarterback position in DraftKings points per game (22.5) and leads an Eagles offense that ranks eighth in EPA/Play. Hurts has a dream matchup at home against a Jaguars defense that ranks 30th in EPA/Play Allowed and 31st in Dropback EPA Allowed.

Derek Carr returns this week to the best possible matchup imaginable. The Panthers rank dead last in both EPA/Play Allowed and Dropback EPA Allowed. Carr ranks tenth in pass touchdowns per game (1.6) and is an extreme salary saver for cash games priced at just $5,600.

Running Backs

RankPlayerOpponentSalary
1Alvin Kamaraat Panthers$7,800
2Derrick Henryvs Broncos$8,300
3James Cookvs Dolphins$7,200
4D'Andre Swiftat Cardinals$6,400
5Alexander Mattisonat Bengals$5,700

Alvin Kamara ranks fourth in opportunities per game (21.9), ninth in total yards per game (101.5), and fourth in total touchdowns (7). The Saints are seven-point favorites and Kamara gets to attack the worst defense in the league. The Panthers defense ranks dead last in both EPA/Play Allowed and Rush EPA Allowed. Kenfdre Miller is out and Jamaal Williams is doubtful.

The Ravens are 9.5-point home favorites so the game script projects to be favorable for Derrick Henry. He'll continue his massive season as he ranks 12th in opportunities per game (19.4), first in total yards per game (126.5), and first in total touchdowns (11).

James Cook averages a solid 16.4 opportunities per game and ranks third in the NFL in total touchdowns (8). The Bills are 6.5-point home favorites and Cook has a decent matchup against a Dolphins defense that ranks 18th in EPA/Play Allowed and 16th in Rush EPA Allowed.

D'Andre Swift really turned it on in October. Swift now ranks 14th in opportunities per game (18.9) and 18th in total yards per game (92.4) in the entire NFL. Swift has a great matchup on tap against a Cardinals defense that only ranks 29th in EPA/Play Allowed and 22nd in Rush EPA Allowed.

Alexander Mattison's workload in October was incredible. His opportunities in those four games: 18, 19, 26, and 19. Mattison is priced at just $5,700 and he gets a Bengals defense that only ranks 26th in EPA/Play Allowed and 29th in Rush EPA Allowed.

 

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