Gameday Injury Expectations: Week 11

This article summarizes all the injuries before Week 11 with a breakdown of fantasy production post-injury along with how likely a player is to start following their injury.

Adam Hutchison's Gameday Injury Expectations: Week 11 Adam Hutchison Published 11/16/2024

© Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

Week 11 is another week where most of the NFL teams did the heavy lifting for us and ruled out players early. With that said there are some key fantasy WRs who are coming back from injury this week without any injury designation that I think warrant discussion. I discuss these players along with others below.

Understanding the NFL's Injury Report

(per Dr. Bramel - Footballguys OG)

"The injury report released by the NFL is [made up of] two reports. The first is the Practice Participation report, which lists which injured players practiced and their participation level. It also includes players who rested or missed practice for non-injury-related reasons. The second is the Game Status Report, which gives the probability a player will play, i.e., Questionable, Doubtful, Out. The Practice Participation Report is released every day of the week (Monday through Saturday). The Game Status Report is released with the Friday participation report (Wednesday for Thursday games, Saturday for Monday games). In this feature, I'll include the Game Status Listing and my expectations of their likelihood of playing."

If you are reading this article on Saturday, make sure to come back on Sunday morning as more updates trickle in within the next 24 hours.

Current Status on High-Impact Injured Players

Gameday Decision

Off Injury Report - Will Play

Ruled Out

* Key:

Player | Injury | Game Status Listing | Playing Expectation 

Sunday 1:00 PM EST Games

WR Davante Adams, NY Jets | Wrist/Illness | Questionable | Projecting Active

Davante Adams missed Wednesday and Thursday's practice this week with a wrist injury/illness but the veteran wideout was able to return to practice fully on Friday.

It's hard to say which of the two impairments was limiting Adams the most, but reading between the lines, I suspect that his illness sidelined him to start the week. Jets' interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich has indicated that he suspects Adams will be active Sunday, and I am projecting the same. Players who log a full practice (FP) on Fridays start 86% of the time.

WR Michael Pittman Jr., Indianapolis | Back | No Injury Designation | Will Play

Michael Pittman Jr. is not carrying any injury designation into Sunday, but it is clear that the Colts' WR is not 100%. At the start of the season, it was suspected that the back injury may place Pittman on IR, but to his credit, Pittman has gutted it out. However, this has come at a price as Pittman's efficiency and fantasy production have not been this low since his rookie year. All these metrics are near or at career lows.

  • Yards after catch
  • Yards per route run
  • Fantasy points per route run
  • Fantasy points per game

Some might point to inconsistent QB play from the Colts as a cause for Pittman's struggles and surely that has factored in. Per my preseason findings in "Fantasy Performance and Re-Injury Rate by Position" back injuries rank as "high" in terms of lingering effects on fantasy production so this does align with the suspicion that Pittman's back injury is hampering him.

As it stands, our Footballguys WR Rankings for Week 11 have Pittman at WR52, meaning our analysts are seeing the same things I am. You should consider whether you have better options before plugging Pittman into your lineup. 

RB Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh | Back | Questionable | 50/50

Jaylen Warren struggled with a knee injury earlier this season and now finds himself on the injury report again with a back injury. Warren was able to practice this week but in a limited fashion. I would not be shocked to see Warren miss another game as he has struggled to stay healthy this season while his counterpart Najee Harris has performed well in a workhorse role. Even if Warren is active, trusting him in any lineup would be hard.

Update: Jaylen Warren is expected to play today.

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