The early reveals are the best part of Week 1.
Every result is a Rorschach test.
Are the Chargers much worse than we expected, or the Cardinals much better?
Was Christian McCaffrey dealing with cramps and a wonky international game, or is Kaelon Black immediately splitting the backfield?
Is the Packers run game dead on arrival without Josh Jacobs, or is the Vikings defense a stone wall?
Week 2 shows the lies.
Based on Week 1, Jacksonville should walk over Denver. The Broncos looked lost against the Chiefs while the Jaguars only needed a half to blow out Cleveland. Yet, the books have the Broncos as a 3-point favorite.
Cincinnati controlled Tampa Bay throughout Week 1. Buffalo shredded Houston, despite the Texans' history as an elite offense. The books have the Texans as a 2.5-point favorite.
Las Vegas cruised over Miami. The Chargers supplied the surprise of the week in a loss to Arizona. The Chargers are 6.5-point favorites.
The Rams were the butt of jokes around their travel plans and flat performance. The Giants were darlings of Week 1, imposing their will over Dallas on Sunday Night Football. Rams, 7-point favorites.
The Jets gave another surprise performance, blowing out the favorite, Tennessee. Green Bay started red hot against Minnesota before crumbling down the stretch. Packers 3.5-point favorites.
These lines are a great reminder to keep a level head around Week 1 results.
Fifteen games stand on the schedule; it’s up to Week 2 to confirm truths and reveal the Week 1 lies.
Number Watch
Dak Prescott, Dallas
3 Passing Touchdowns - Tony Romo, 248 Passing Touchdowns, 1st in Cowboys history
Prescott passed Romo for first in passing yards in Cowboys history in 2025. He needs 3 touchdowns to tie the team record.
Derrick Henry, Baltimore
97 Rushing Yards - Eric Dickerson, 13,259 Rushing Yards, 9th All-Time
2 Rushing Touchdowns - Ray Rice, 37 Touchdowns, 2nd in Ravens history
Henry would trail only Emmitt Smith (164) and LaDainian Tomlinson (145). Henry is 10th in rushing yards and can move up multiple spots over the year, needing 1,083 to get to Curtis Martin at 6th.
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville
1 Passing Touchdown - Blake Bortles, 103 Passing Touchdowns, 2nd in Jaguars history
2 Rushing Touchdowns - Travis Etienne Jr., 25 rushing touchdowns, 4th in Jaguars history
Lawrence needs one passing touchdown to tie Bortles for the second most in Jaguars history. He is already second in passing yards with 18,067. Mark Brunell holds the top marks in both categories, with 25,698 passing yards and 144 passing touchdowns.
With two rushing touchdowns, he will tie former teammate Etienne for 4th in team history. Maurice Jones-Drew (68), Fred Taylor (62), and James Stewart (33) hold the Top 3 spots.
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia
1 Passing Touchdown - Carson Wentz, 113 Passing Touchdowns, 4th in Eagles history
6 Rushing Touchdowns - Steve Van Buren, 69 rushing touchdowns, 1st in Eagles history
Hurts is currently tied with Wentz for 4th in passing touchdowns. Donovan McNabb (216), Ron Jaworski (175), and Randall Cunningham (150) hold the Top 3 spots.
He will not get 6 rushing touchdowns in Week 2, but he is closing in on the franchise record. Two rushing touchdowns would move him inside the Top 50 in career touchdowns, tying him with four others.
Travis Kelce, Kansas City
11 receptions - Tim Brown, 1,094 receptions, 7th All-Time / Cris Carter, 1,101, 6th / Marvin Harrison Jr., 1,102, 5th
Kelce sits at 1,083 catches, the eighth most in NFL history. He passed Jason Witten for the second most yards by a tight end all-time in Week 1. Kelce can pass Steve Largent for 21st in NFL history with 16 receiving yards.
Keenan Allen, Indianapolis
1 reception - Andre Johnson, 1,062 receptions, 12th All-time
63 receiving yards - Charlie Joiner, 12,051 receiving yards, 30th All-time
Allen ties Johnson with his next catch. He can immediately make a significant leap up the career list; Reggie Wayne is 8 away at 11th, Anquan Boldin is 15 away, and Terrell Owens is 17. Kelce is creating separation, sitting 23 catches ahead of Allen, but 41 catches over the season will move him into sixth, assuming Kelce keeps climbing ahead. He can crack the Top 30 in career yards with 63.
Davante Adams, LA Rams
4 receptions - Isaac Bruce, 1,024 receptions, 15th All-time
11 receptions - Steve Smith, 1,031 receptions, 14th All-time
62 receiving yards - Art Monk, 12,721 receiving yards, 25th All-time
126 receiving yards - Irving Fryer, 12,785 receiving yards, 24th All-time
4 receiving touchdowns - Larry Fitzgerald, 121 receiving touchdowns, 6th All-time
Adams is nearing multiple thresholds, including Top 15 in receptions and Top 25 in yards. When he hits these upcoming marks, he will have a decent gap before the next significant numbers. Puka Nacua is questionable for Week 2, potentially providing a spotlight for Adams after a quiet Week 1.
Mike Evans, San Francisco
97 receiving yards - Andre Reed, 13,198 receiving yards, 19th All-Time
2 receiving touchdowns - Tony Gonzalez, 111 receiving touchdowns, 9th All-time
Evans ranks lower on the reception list than some other climbers, but he was a vertical threat for much of his career. He is the active leader in receiving yards.
Stefon Diggs, Washington
5 receptions - Andre Reed, 951 receptions, 22nd all-time
9 receptions - Antonio Gates, 955 receptions, 21st
A huge game against Dallas could jump Diggs into striking distance for the Top 20. Brandon Marshall has 970 career catches. He needs 60 receiving yards to catch Calvin Johnson for 37th.
Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati
8 receptions - Carl Pickens, 530 receptions, 3rd in Bengals’ team history
38 receiving yards - Pickens, 6,887 receiving yards, 4th
Chase could leap into the Top 3 in team receptions and 4th in yards. He’ll be working on catching Chad Johnson and A.J. Green III for multiple seasons. It's neat he is this far up the board already.
Courtland Sutton, Denver
7 receptions - Ed McCaffrey, 462 receptions, 5th in Broncos’ team history
Sutton was used sparingly in Week 1, though Denver’s offense struggled across the board. A big day will move him a spot on the team’s career reception list.
Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco
1 receiving yard - Marcus Allen, 5,411 receiving yards, 4th most by a running back all-time
1 receiving touchdown - Marshall Faulk, 36 receiving touchdowns, most by a running back
McCaffrey is closing in on becoming the best receiving running back in NFL history. He needs 1 yard to tie Marcus Allen for the 4th most yards, and his next touchdown will break a tie with Marshall Faulk for the most by a back.