#Trendspotting: Week 14 - Footballguys

Ryan Hester's #Trendspotting: Week 14 - Footballguys Ryan Hester Published 12/06/2018

Reader's Guide

As you read, you may run into some colors in the text. Blue text is a good matchup for that team's offensive players. Red text is a bad matchup. Some other key items are below:

  • All red/blue highlighting in tables is relative to the entire NFL, even when showing only a limited number of teams.
  • All reference to fantasy points assumes DraftKings scoring rules unless otherwise specified.
  • All stats reference the full 2018 season unless otherwise specified.
  • All fantasy points rankings in the matchup graphics are on a per-game basis to account for bye weeks.

This week, we'll discuss the following topics:

What Have You Done For Me Lately?

Last week, we paid close attention to what teams have done over the last five weeks. After all, what happened in Week 2 is less relevant than what has happened since the calendar flipped to November and December.

So in this section, we'll look at some teams who have been struggling defensively lately that might be surprising relative to how they started the season.

QBs vs. Oakland

Passing Rushing
Week Comp Att Yds TDs Int Car Yds TDs FPs Price FP/$
Patrick Mahomes II 13 23 38 295 4 0 9 52 0 33.0 $7,600 4.3
Lamar Jackson 12 14 25 178 1 2 11 71 1 22.2 $5,700 3.9
Josh Rosen 11 9 20 136 3 2 1 0 0 15.4 $4,800 3.2
Philip Rivers 10 18 26 223 2 1 1 1 0 16.0 $6,000 2.7
Nick Mullens 9 16 22 262 3 0 4 -3 0 22.2 $4,300 5.2
"FPs" = Fantasy Points
"Price" = DraftKings price for that week
"FP/$" = Fantasy Points scored divided by (player's price / 1,000)
For instance, if a player with a $5,000 price scores 20 fantasy points, the formula is 20/(5,000/1,000). That player's FP/$ would be 4.0 (20/5.0).

  • Trend: Oakland is yielding 21.8 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over the last five weeks, fifth-most in the NFL. This is despite them facing only 26 attempts per game during that stretch, third-fewest. Oakland has allowed three or more passing touchdowns in three of its last five games.
  • This Week: Ben Roethlisberger is passing more than anyone in the NFL. Since Week 9, his 220 attempts lead the league by a wide margin over Matt Ryan's 197. If Pittsburgh chose to pass 45 times against the L.A. Chargers -- a team more beatable on the ground than through the air -- when James Conner was healthy, they'll probably be pass-heavy again this week without Conner. The offense will flow through Roethlisberger against a defense that allows production in nearly every way its opponents choose. Roethlisberger has overall QB1 potential in season-long leagues and is playable in all formats in DFS, especially GPPs.

RBs vs. Cincinnati

Rushing Receiving
Week Car Yds TDs Rec Yds TDs FPs Price FP/$
Phillip Lindsay 13 19 157 2 1 2 0 31.9 $5,400 5.9
Nick Chubb 12 28 84 1 3 44 1 27.8 $6,300 4.4
Gus Edwards 11 17 115 1 0 0 0 22.5 $3,000 7.5
Mark Ingram 10 13 104 0 3 58 1 28.2 $4,500 6.3
Alvin Kamara 10 12 56 2 4 46 0 26.2 Photos provided by Imagn Images
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