Links to other positions in this series:
It’s hard to believe the NFL regular season is here, but Week 1 gets underway on Thursday. If you're like me, you still have several key drafts to complete in the next few days. After spending more than four months focusing on every bit of minutiae, every tidbit, every coach’s quote, and adjusting our rankings and projections, a lot can change from our original expectations.
Wide Receivers Who Changed My Mind
A.J. Brown (PHI) remains elite
After the trade, I felt Brown became the most overvalued receiver because Philadelphia was the most run-heavy team exiting 2021. There just weren’t enough targets to support a top-10 receiver. But it’s become clear the team plans on passing a lot more in 2022, and Brown was unstoppable all summer. Draft Brown as your WR1 with confidence.
Deebo Samuel (SF) will be a hybrid player again
Samuel was agitated about his contract situation during the offseason and requested a trade because he worried his longevity as a part-time running back would be cut short. Fortunately, the 49ers paid Samuel a massive extension, which gives him long-term security. He’s now amenable to being used in a hybrid capacity again.
Courtland Sutton (DEN) will be a must-start difference maker
Russell Wilson heading to Denver was a surefire boon to everyone’s fantasy prospects, but the drum beats point toward Sutton as the breakout alpha option. Jerry Jeudy is talented but hasn’t put it together on the field yet and doesn’t seem to have the same connection with Wilson. If Sutton is healthy, he should have a top-20 floor.
Gabe Davis (BUF) could be a star
Davis was among the most debated receivers this summer, with fantasy analysts making passionate pleas for and against him. Initially, I worried he was overhyped after back-to-back 35-reception seasons. But looking at what the front office did at the position, it became clear that Davis will be counted on as an every-down player alongside Stefon Diggs. Davis’ athleticism and the overall value of the Bills' offense make him a player worth rolling the dice on as your WR3.