30 Thoughts to Elevate Your Game: Fantasy Overview: Week 16

A stats-based overview of the NFL season, identifying the sustainable and surfacing trends that matter.

Jeff Haseley's 30 Thoughts to Elevate Your Game: Fantasy Overview: Week 16 Jeff Haseley Published 12/16/2025

Fantasy Overview offers a weekly breakdown of key information, stats, and strategies to help you excel in your fantasy league. Stay informed about the ever-changing landscape and gain insights to boost your success.

30 Thoughts, Stats, and Tidbits That Can Elevate Your Game

1. Monitor the weather.

You don't want to find out too late that a weather game has a direct impact on your quarterbacks' chances in the fantasy playoffs. Teams playing in cold weather this week include: Cleveland vs Buffalo, Chicago vs Green Bay, Denver vs Jacksonville, NY Giants vs Minnesota, New England at Baltimore, Washington vs Philadelphia. 

© Jeff Lange / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images Fantasy Playoffs

2. Start players on teams with hot quarterbacks.

When in doubt, lean on the quarterback to help in your decision-making. Quarterbacks with 8+ total touchdowns in the last three weeks include Trevor Lawrence (10), Josh Allen (9), and Jordan Love (8). 

© Travis Register-Imagn Images

3. Monitor injuries for key players, as injuries can significantly impact outcomes.

Patrick Mahomes II is the gigantic injury that impacts several players who may be on your roster or your opponent's roster. Davante Adams may have re-injured his hamstring trying to play through it. Monitor this situation. Bam Knight may be out with an ankle injury. If so, Michael Carter is a player of interest. Christian Watson is dealing with a chest/collarbone/shoulder injury and could be out. Jayden Reed could be the biggest beneficiary. Devin Neal (hamstring) will likely be shelved. Who takes over? Audric Estime? Evan Hull? Will Cincinnati keep Higgins (concussion) out with nothing to play for? 

© Thomas Shea-Imagn Images

4. Upset alert

Look for teams with strong defenses or efficient offenses to pull off upsets against favored opponents, especially if the matchup is in the division. Divisional games this week include Carolina vs Tampa Bay, Chicago vs Green Bay, Washington vs Philadelphia, and Seattle vs LA Rams.

© Kevin R. Wexler-NorthJersey.com / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

5. Teams on hot streaks tend to perform better.

The Broncos have won 11 consecutive games. Houston has won six in a row, Jacksonville has won five, and both Seattle and San Francisco have each won four straight games. Buffalo and the LA Chargers have each secured three wins. 

© Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

6. Teams forcing the most turnovers are good teams to target.

Chicago has a +20 turnover ratio - the highest in the league. Houston is next with +14, and Jacksonville has +10. 

© David Banks-Imagn Images

7. Dome games

This week: Detroit vs Pittsburgh, Houston vs Las Vegas, Indianapolis vs San Francisco, New Orleans vs NY Jets, LA Chargers at Dallas (close enough)

© Thomas Shea-Imagn Images

8. New England is 6-0 on the road this season.

They will play at Baltimore this week, who are 3-5 at home. Chicago is 10-4 but only 1-3 vs divisional opponents. They host Green Bay this week, who is 4-0 vs the division, including a Week 14 loss at Green Bay. 

© David Butler II-Imagn Images

9. Monitor the Cold

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