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🏆 Is Bijan Robinson The New RB1?
ABOUT 1 YEAR AGO • 10 MIN READ

🏆 Is Bijan Robinson The New RB1?

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06/24/26

Howdy Reader,​

And just like that, we're down to the Final Four. It's the chalkiest bracket we've had since 2008 — the only year all four No. 1 seeds made it this far. The matchups should be incredible, but let’s be honest: a Cinderella or two would've made the ride a little more fun.

Meanwhile, our march toward the NFL Draft rolls on. With the Annual League Meeting underway, several rule changes are on the table — most notably, the proposal to ban the controversial "Tush Push". Should it be outlawed? Let us know in our poll below.

Inside this issue: Round-by-round running back draft strategy based on early ADP trends, dynasty roster-cloggers to cut loose, the sustainability of elite wide receiver production, Superflex rookie draft insights, and much more. Plus, our Bob Harris returns with his latest can't-miss Fantasy Notebook.

Let's Go,

J

PS. Don’t miss Interactive Live Trivia every Monday at 9:00 PM ET! This week’s theme: Video Games. Play along, go head-to-head with other Footballguys, and win sweet prizes. 👉Join us HERE 👉​

📺 Trivia Night LIVE!

📅 Tuesday, June 16th at 7:00 PM ET on YouTube

Tuesday Trivia LIVE is here!

Join us every Tuesday at 7 PM ET as we stay connected in the offseason with themed trivia! This week, we're celebrating Father's Day with an NFL Fathers Trivia Showdown!

Plus, we'll be giving away some sweet prizes.

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Footballguys 2025 Rookie Draft Guide

We're excited to announce that the Post-Combine Update edition of the 2025 Footballguys Rookie Draft Guide is now available to download!

Version 2 of the Rookie Draft Guide is loaded with everything that happened during the NFL Combine that you need to know and more.

Oh, and did we mention it's still FREE TO DOWNLOAD?

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Fresh Pickens In Dallas

The Dallas Cowboys' search for a No. 2 wide receiver opposite Pro Bowler CeeDee Lamb has landed them George Pickens.
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The Cowboys and Pittsburgh Steelers agreed to a trade Wednesday that will send Pickens to Dallas for a 2026 third-round pick. The Cowboys will also send a 2027 fifth-round pick to the Steelers and get back a 2026 sixth-round pick.
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Lamb will continue to dominate the targets in Dallas, but Pickens will get an upgrade with Dak Prescott at quarterback. Pickens should be viewed as a WR3 with upside in his new home.
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-- Bob Harris
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What's New At Footballguys

  • Running Back Roulette With Early Best-Ball Values: The Fantasy Notebook - Bob Harris digs into early best-ball ADP trends to spotlight undervalued running backs like Bijan Robinson, Chase Brown, James Cook, and Kyren Williams, offering round-by-round strategy insights to help fantasy drafters exploit volume, workload clarity, and mispriced talent.

  • When to Expect an Elite Wide Receiver to Decline in Fantasy Football - Corey Spala analyzes age-based production trends for 15 elite WRs to pinpoint when dynasty managers should expect a drop-off, offering insights on how long stars like Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase can sustain WR1 value and how to separate legends from future benchwarmers.

  • 12 Dynasty Roster Cloggers You Can Let Go Of - Rachel Tootsiepop leads a Footballguys Staff roundtable highlighting dynasty dust collectors to cut loose, including Dawson Knox, Allen Lazard, and Zack Moss, with insight on why these once-promising names are now just dead weight holding back your roster churn.

  • 2025 Dynasty Rookie ADP for Superflex Leagues - Joey Wright compiles average draft position data from recent rookie-only dynasty mocks for Superflex formats, highlighting how top prospects like Ashton Jeanty, Cam Ward, and Tetairoa McMillan are being valued in early four-round drafts, with insights into risers, fallers, and potential market inefficiencies.

  • Mock Draft Reactions: ESPN - Josh Fahlsing dissects Mike Tannenbaum’s latest ESPN mock draft, offering sharp dynasty analysis on fantasy-relevant rookies like Cam Ward, Ashton Jeanty, Shedeur Sanders, and Emeka Egbuka, and how projected landing spots impact their value in 2025 rookie drafts.

📣 Voice Of The Footballguy 🎤

📊 POLL RESULTS: In our last issue of the Daily Update, we asked you Footballguys:

Which rookie RB takes control of his backfield first?

And the Footballguy says: I trust TreVeyon Henderson more than the Patriots do.

TODAY: Clayton Gray’s deep dive into how player values are shifting in high-stakes NFFC drafts reveals one clear trend — quarterbacks are climbing.

Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?

So today, we ask you Footballguys:

🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?

When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.

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Running Back Roulette With Early Best-Ball Values: The Fantasy Notebook

By Bob Harris - Exclusive to Footballguys

The following feature is a free preview of our content. If you like it, click here to sign up for access to our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions, and you'll get all of our content. We're so sure you'll love it that we have an industry-leading 30-day MoneyBack Guarantee, so there's zero risk.

Welcome to the weekly Fantasy Notebook, the must-stop spot for keeping your finger on the pulse of Fantasy Nation. NFL news and developments drive fantasy values. The Notebook is here to keep you in the loop on all of it throughout the season.

Setting the Market Before It's Set

As noted last week, I'm all in on best-ball drafts. I love them. I say this realizing you might not share in my enthusiasm -- especially this time of year. After all, we're heading into the first week of April. While the bulk of free agency is in our rearview mirror, moves are still coming, and the NFL Draft is more than three weeks away.

But that's what makes this moment valuable.

Early best ball isn't about building the perfect team -- it's about spotting mispriced talent before the market corrects. Even if you're not diving into the draft rooms yet, following current ADP trends -- and how they evolve -- is a powerful way to set baselines and sharpen projections.

That's the plan here. I'm comparing early best-ball ADP with Footballguys' 2025 Draft Projections to find where expectations and opportunities diverge.

Last week, we tackled quarterbacks. This week?

RB Values: Follow the Volume, Look For Discounts

Best ball shifts the RB strategy. No waivers, no trades, no start/sit decisions -- just spike weeks and survival.

But that doesn't mean best-ball results don't inform redraft. Certain truths apply across formats. Chief among them: Volume is king.

That said, we're not chasing just any volume. We want the right volume at the right price. Based on early Average Draft Position (ADP), Rounds 1 through 3 are packed with actionable opportunities.

I'll walk through each round, highlighting key names, comparing roles and projections, and explaining how I'm splitting the hairs between similarly priced backs. You might see things differently -- and that's okay. You're pretty smart.

The goal is to provide insight into my processes to help inform yours.

Let's dive in . . .

Round 1: Workhorses Vs. WR Stars: Are The RBs Worth It?

The list of running backs with first-round price tags is mostly what you'd expect:

Yes, Jeanty going at the tail end of the first stanza is a little surprising. Still, a quick look at the full Footballguys 2025 Underdog Average Draft Position data suggests drafters are high on this entire class (six rookies are being drafted among the first 36 running backs), but let's start breaking things down.

The Cream Of The Crop

As Profootballtalk.com's Michael David Smith recently reminded readers, Saquon Barkley had one of the best seasons ever by a running back. He rushed for 2,504 yards over the regular and postseasons, breaking the previous single-season record Terrell Davis held while leading his new team on its Super Bowl run. Though Barkley had a chance to take down Eric Dickerson's regular-season rushing title, the Eagles decided to rest their starters in their finale against Barkley's former team, the Giants.

Eagles GM Howie Roseman thinks it was the best season a running back has ever had. In fact, he took that a step further.

"In my opinion," Roseman said, "The best season for any skill position player in NFL history."

Along the way, Barkley racked up 351.3 fantasy points, the second most among all running backs. His 22 points per game, however, were the most in the league.

The question is, can he repeat it? And is he worth the first or second pick overall to find out?

Barkley had 482 touches last season. As ESPN.com's Mike Clay noted, that's the most a running back has handled since DeMarco Murray had 497 in 2014. All told, 15 running backs have hit 400 touches (including the playoffs), and only five of those repeated as top-5 fantasy producers the following year . . .

CONTINUED...

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being a Footballguy. We'll be back on Friday with Sigmund Bloom's Week In NFL News.

Until then, watch out for incoming rule changes.

Peace,

J

Joe Bryant

Guide
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Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey

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We Help You Win More At Fantasy Football

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Past Issues:

June 23rd • Vol. 28, #79 • 🏆 Real Sleepers, Not The Same Recycled Names
June 22nd • Vol. 28, #78 • 🏆 The Cheapest RB1 On The Board Right Now
June 21st • Vol. 28, #77 • 🏆 Gary's Got Four Names Your League Will Draft Too High
June 20th • Vol. 28, #76 • 🏆 Happy Father's Day - Maybe You Call First?
June 19th • Vol. 28, #75 • 🏆 Gary Davenport's 2026 Breakout Bets
June 18th • Vol. 28, #74 • 🏆 This Top Rookie Is A Trap At His ADP
June 17th • Vol. 28, #73 • 🏆 Where Dave Breaks From The Footballguys Dynasty Board
June 16th • Vol. 28, #72 • 🏆 You're Not Drafting Brock Bowers High Enough
June 15th • Vol. 28, #71 • 🏆 The TE Gary Thinks Could Jump To The Top
June 14th • Vol. 28, #70 • 🏆 Our Bounce Back WR
June 13th • Vol. 28, #69 • 🏆 News And Notes From Around The League
June 12th • Vol. 28, #68 • 🏆 These WRs Need A Landing Spot. Where?
June 11th • Vol. 28, #67 • 🏆 Bob Harris' Believe It Or Nots
June 10th • Vol. 28, #66 • 🏆 Believe it or Not? Talk Of Limiting This Star RB...
June 9th • Vol. 28, #65 • 🏆 Saquon Barkley: Do You Still Believe?
June 8th • Vol. 28, #64 • 🏆 Jahmyr Gibbs - Believe It or Not?
June 7th • Vol. 28, #63 • 🏆 Are These Young QBs Being Drafted Too Early?
June 6th • Vol. 28, #62 • 🏆 Cecil Has You Covered This Weekend
June 5th • Vol. 28, #61 • 🏆 CeeDee Lamb Is A 1st Round Target
June 4th • Vol. 28, #60 • 🏆 Mark Andrews At TE16 Is A Gift
June 3rd • Vol. 28, #59 • 🏆 Drake Maye Over Lamar Jackson?
June 2nd • Vol. 28, #58 • 🏆 The NFL's Best Wingman Is Ready to Fly Solo
June 1st • Vol. 28, #57 • 🏆 A.J. Brown Is A Patriot. Myles Garrett Is A Ram.
May 31st • Vol. 28, #56 • 🏆 The Reigning MVP Is A Draft-Day Bargain
May 30th • Vol. 28, #55 • 🏆 Is Kenneth Walker Heading To A Career Year?
May 29th • Vol. 28, #54 • 🏆 Ben Johnson Is Buying Luther Burden Stock
May 28th • Vol. 28, #53 • 🏆 The WR1 Upside Hiding In Round 3
May 27th • Vol. 28, #52 • 🏆 Here's How We See The Josh Jacobs Situation
May 26th • Vol. 28, #51 • 🏆 CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, or Amon-Ra St. Brown: Pick One
May 25th • Vol. 28, #50 • 🏆 The Top Three WRs Everyone Is Drafting. Are They In the Right Order?
May 24th • Vol. 28, #49 • 🏆 I've Worn This Bracelet for 21 Years
May 23rd • Vol. 28, #48 • 🏆 ADP Is Shifting. Your Rankings Should Too.
May 22nd • Vol. 28, #47 • 🏆 The Most Interesting Stories in Fantasy Football Today
May 21st • Vol. 28, #46 • 🏆 Are We Drafting These Backfields Right?
May 20th • Vol. 28, #45 • 🏆 Jaylen Warren Has a Problem Named Rico Dowdle
May 19th • Vol. 28, #44 • 🏆 What Do Rashee Rice's Latest Issues Mean for You?
May 18th • Vol. 28, #43 • 🏆 Two Backfields, Little Clarity. Bob Has Answers.
May 17th • Vol. 28, #42 • 🏆 Quarterback Competitions, Real and Imagined
May 16th • Vol. 28, #41 • 🏆 We Made You a Schedule Grid. It Prints.
May 15th • Vol. 28, #40 • 🏆 Your 2026 Schedule Cheat Sheet Is Here
May 14th • Vol. 28, #39 • 🏆 Sigmund's RB Tiers Are Out. Here's Who To Target.
May 13th • Vol. 28, #38 • 🏆 Stop Drafting Dynasty WRs Like It's 2024
May 12th • Vol. 28, #37 • 🏆 Bob Harris Has Your Offseason Intel
May 11th • Vol. 28, #36 • 🏆 NFL First-Round Pick. Fantasy Afterthought.
May 10th • Vol. 28, #35 • 🏆 Bob Harris Found The ADP Fallers Worth Chasing
May 9th • Vol. 28, #34 • 🏆 Send This To The Football Mom In Your Life
May 8th • Vol. 28, #33 • 🏆 Gary Davenport's Boldest IDP Calls For 2026
May 7th • Vol. 28, #32 • 🏆 The Mother’s Day Win You Still Have Time For
May 6th • Vol. 28, #31 • 🏆 Bell. Kluge. Sharp Dynasty RB Tiers
May 5th • Vol. 28, #30 • 🏆 Bob Harris Has The News You Need
May 4th • Vol. 28, #29 • 🏆 Your Dynasty Trade Guide Just Updated
May 2nd • Vol. 28, #28 • 🏆 Your Sunday NFL Update
May 1st • Vol. 28, #27 • 🏆 Your IDP Rookie Rankings Are Here
April 30th • Vol. 28, #26 • 🏆 Harris vs. Davenport: 5 Questions. They Have Thoughts.
April 29th • Vol. 28, #25 • 🏆 Our Staff Ran a Dynasty Startup Draft Last Night. Here's Every Pick. Overview
April 28th • Vol. 28, #24 • 🏆 Harris With The News + Bloom's Rookie Board
April 27th • Vol. 28, #23 • 🏆 George Pickens Still Hasn't Signed In Dallas
April 26th • Vol. 28, #22 • 🏆 A Fresh Addition to the Eagles' Target Tree
April 25th • Vol. 28, #21 • 🏆 NFL Draft Is Done. Here's What It Means For You.
April 23rd • Vol. 28, #20 • 🏆 Fantasy Fallout From Round 1 - Let's Break It Down
April 22nd • Vol. 28, #19 • 🏆 Draft Week Discount + The Pre-Draft Bloom 100. On Us
April 19th • Vol. 28, #18 • 🏆 Davante Adams Isn't Done
April 16th • Vol. 28, #17 • 🏆 The News You Need, Pre-Draft Bloom 100, And More!
April 12th • Vol. 28, #16 • 🏆 Three QBs To Draft If You're Moving Off Jalen Hurts
April 9th • Vol. 28, #15 • 🏆 The News You Need, NFL Mock Drafts And More!
April 5th • Vol. 28, #14 • 🏆 Bob Harris: New Possibilities For 3 Running Backs
April 2nd • Vol. 28, #13 • 🏆 Sigmund Bloom On Puka Nacua, Jalen Hurts, Kirk Cousins And More
March 29th • Vol. 28, #12 • 🏆 Bob Harris Names His Bounce-Back Superstars
March 26th • Vol. 28, #11 • 🏆 Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Puka Nacua. Ty Simpson. Now What?
March 22nd • Vol. 28, #10 • 🏆 3 Free Agency What-Ifs Bob Harris Is Watching
March 19th • Vol. 28, #9 • 🏆 Sigmund Has The NFL Notes You Need This Week
March 12th • Vol. 28, #8 • 🏆 We tracked every 2026 player move. Here's what you actually need
March 8th • Vol. 28, #7 • 🏆 The Free Agents Bob Harris Is Targeting Right Now
March 5th • Vol. 28, #6 • 🏆 Sigmund Bloom With The News You Need + 2026 Rookie Guide Update
March 1st • Vol. 28, #5 • 🏆 The Week Coaches Say More Than They Should
February 26th • Vol. 28, #4 • 🏆 Sigmund Bloom Has the News You Need
February 22nd • Vol. 28, #3 • 🏆 The Free-Agent QB We're Watching
February 19th • Vol. 28, #2 • 🏆 Sigmund Bloom Has the News That Matters
February 15th • Vol. 28, #1 • 🏆 A.J. Brown: "Change is not a bad thing"

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