Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 1.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
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Week 1 Recap 3-2:
Jalen Hurts over 242.5 Passing Yards- Win
Tua Tagovailoa under 235.5 Passing Yards- Win
Lamar Jackson Under 69.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Ja’Marr Chase Under 49.5 Receiving Yards- Loss
Christian McCaffrey Over 18.5 Carries- Win
Jalen Hurts Over 51.5 Rushing Yards
The 49ers boast a very strong pass rush and at this point a very poor secondary as they have lost Jason Verrett with an ACL injury and will be without Emmanual Moseley this week as he was downgraded to doubtful. The game plan for the Eagles should be relatively simple, have Hurts look at one read and then take off running, especially early as the safeties are going to have to stay further back than they normally do in order to help out the cornerbacks this week. This should look very similar to the Saints game last year in which Hurts ran the ball 18 times while throwing the ball 30 times. Hurts has topped 51.5 yards in every game in which he has started and finished, and don’t expect the 49ers to figure out the riddle in stopping Hurts this week.
Cordarrelle Patterson Over 21.5 Rushing Yards
Patterson quietly was a bright spot for the Falcons as he led the team in rushing yards last week with 54 on just 7 carries. It’s important to note that he did some of this work early in the game as well as the game did turn into a blowout late, as he was the main running back on the second-drive for the Falcons. There were significant questions heading into this season with Mike Davis being the primary running back, and we very likely could be seeing a split as the Falcons attempt to find some level of identity. They play the Buccaneers this week and the matchup could not be worse, for Patterson, but his style should work better than Davis’ as Patterson has better vision being one of the best kick returners of all time.
Najee Harris More Rushing Yards Than Damien Harris
This matchup is a little bit surprising that these two players are matched up together at even odds. Damien Harris had a great Week 1, amassing 100 yards on 23 carries, while Najee Harris struggled against Buffalo. This would lead most to think that Damien Harris would be the better play, but history would tell us otherwise. Damien Harris topped 100 yards three times last season, and in the three games following those performances, Damien had 6 carries, 14 carries, and 11 carries averaging 44 yards per game in those contests. Damien is facing a tough Jets defense that looked like a reinvigorated unit with C.J. Moseley back on the field after missing 2019 due to injury and sitting 2020 out due to Covid. Meanwhile Najee Harris gets a favorable matchup against a Raiders team that allowed 189 yard rushing last week. Najee was on the field for 100% of the teams snaps which is encouraging for a rookie. This seems like a trap where the prop makers want you to take Damien Harris, but don’t be fooled, take Najee.
Andy Dalton Over 218.5 Passing Yards
Say what you want about Andy Dalton, but he effectively managed the offense last week completing 71% of his passes against the Rams defense which is one of the best in football against the pass. This week, Dalton will go up against his former team in the Bengals, and life in general should be much easier for the Red Rifle. The Bengals in Week 1 allowed 351 yards passing to Kirk Cousins, and while the Bears don’t have the weapons that the Vikings do, Allen Robinson, David Montgomery, and the Bears tight ends have enough fire power to get to 219 yards. Footballguys has Dalton projected for 241 yards this week.
Kyler Murray Over 36.5 Rushing Yards
The Vikings are without two of their key pieces this week in Anthony Barr and Eric Kendricks both of which are critical in stopping the run. Without those two pieces, the Vikings will be down to Nick Vigil, Troy Dye and Blake Lynch. Vigil is the only one of the three who has real experience, and the depth that the Vikings will have behind those three is non-existent. This is a tall order for the Vikings to stop Murray as he can pickup the 36.5 in just one or two carries.