Join the Footballguys Daily Update
Start your morning with our roundup of the most important stories in football - with the fantasy insight you need to make league-winning decisions. Delivered straight to your inbox, 100% free.
Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 8.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays, but typically we stay around 5. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
See something else you like? Send me a note on Twitter
Week 7 Recap 4-1
Back-to-back 4-1 weeks have turned the season record around these last couple weeks. Let’s keep it going.
Jameis Winston Over 205.5 Passing Yards- Win
Matthew Stafford Under 288.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Joe Mixon Over 53.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Aaron Rodgers Over 255.5 Passing Yards- Win
Damien Harris Over 64.5 Rushing Yards- Win
|
Week 1 |
Week 2 |
Week 3 |
Week 4 |
Week 5 |
Week 6 |
Week 7 |
Total |
|
3-2 |
1-4 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
4-1 |
4-1 |
19-16 |
Week 8 Plays
Trevor Lawrence Over 241.5 Passing Yards
This is a line that is somewhat confusing as everything is working in favor of the Jaguars in this game. Trevor Lawrence was peaking prior to the bye, and coming off a bye week should only help him this upcoming week as he threw for 273 and 319 in back to back games. This week, Lawrence gets to face Seattle who is allowing 301 passing yards per game as this secondary is a complete mess right now. The number is lower than it should be because of the inept Seahawks offense which the sportsbooks are thinking will slow this game down. However, this may not be completely true as Geno Smith while he has been terrible has faced two of the top five pass defenses in football with Pittsburgh and New Orleans.
Justin Fields Under 187.5 Passing Yards
Justin Fields has been absolutely horrendous this season and it is only going to get worse this week. Fields struggled mightily against Tampa Bay, Green Bay, and Las Vegas who are allowing a combined average of 259 passing yards per game. This week, Fields has to face a San Francisco defense that is allowing only 220 passing yards per game. If there is some hope for Fields it is that San Francisco’s pass rush has not been great as they have only 12 sacks on the year which is in the bottom-10 so far this season. Fields still has an uphill battle here as he has topped 187.5 passing yards just once this year which was against an awful Detroit Lions team.
Geno Smith Over 218.5 Passing Yards
This one falls in line with the Trevor Lawrence play and if you’re able to do Same-Game Parlay’s, it could be something where you parlay the two together this week. Geno Smith so far this season has faced the gauntlet of defenses as he has faced LA Rams, Pittsburgh, and New Orleans in three consecutive weeks. This week he gets Jacksonville who are allowing 306 passing yards per game including allowing 291 to Tyrod Taylor, 328 to Teddy Bridgewater, 329 to Tua Tagovailoa, and 348 to Joe Burrow. 218 is such a low number, that Geno Smith should be able to hit this one fairly-easily.
Derrick Henry Over 103.5 Rushing Yards
This is a case where the number is simply too low as Derrick Henry has owned the Colts over the last four meetings between these two teams. Over the last four contests, Henry has topped 103.5 three times, while the fourth time he came in at 103 yards exactly. He is still running the ball as much as normal even coming off of a bad week he still had 29 carries against Kansas City. This is a Colts defense that has struggled at times against the run as they have allowed three 90+ yard runners, and while their total season numbers are strong, it is propped up due to facing Houston, Miami, and Baltimore in a game script game where they had a big lead.
Damien Harris Over 71.5 Rushing Yards-
The Patriots have finally found a consistent running back to create a balance approach with Mac Jones. Over the last two weeks, Harris has topped 100 yards in each of those contests facing the Jets and Cowboys. This week, the Patriots face off against the Chargers who are allowing a mind-boggling 5.4 yards-per-carry and have allowed 90+ yards to an opposing running back in four of their six games this season. The two games that they didn’t were a blowout loss to Baltimore in which no running back had more than 9 carries, and a less than 100% healthy Josh Jacobs who was forced into more work than anticipated due to an early injury to Peyton Barber.
