Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
UPDATED SUNDAY, OCTOBER 3rd @ 8 AM (EST)
| Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
| Buffalo | Houston | -17 | 47 | 32 | ««« | ««« | ««« |
| Kansas City | Philadelphia | -7 | 54.5 | 30.75 | ««« | ««« | |
| LA Rams | Arizona | -4 | 54.5 | 29.25 | «« | «« | |
| Tampa Bay | New England | -7 | 49.5 | 28.25 | «« | ««« | |
| Dallas | Carolina | -4 | 51.5 | 27.75 | «« | «« | |
| San Francisco | Seattle | -2.5 | 52 | 27.25 | « | « | |
| LA Chargers | Las Vegas | -3 | 51.5 | 27.25 | « | «« | |
| Cincinnati | Jacksonville | -7.5 | 46 | 26.75 | « | «« | « |
| Cleveland | Minnesota | -1 | 51.5 | 26.25 | « | « | |
| Green Bay | Pittsburgh | -6 | 45 | 25.5 | « | « | « |
| Tennessee | NY Jets | -6 | 44.5 | 25.25 | « | ||
| Arizona | LA Rams | 4 | 54.5 | 25.25 | |||
| Minnesota | Cleveland | 1 | 51.5 | 25.25 | |||
| Seattle | San Francisco | 2.5 | 52 | 24.75 | |||
| New Orleans | NY Giants | -7 | 42 | 24.5 | «« | ||
| Washington | Atlanta | -1.5 | 47.5 | 24.5 | |||
| Las Vegas | LA Chargers | 3 | 51.5 | 24.25 | |||
| Philadelphia | Kansas City | 7 | 54.5 | 23.75 | |||
| Carolina | Dallas | 5 | 51.5 | 23.25 | |||
| Atlanta | Washington | 1.5 | 47.5 | 23 | Photos provided by Imagn Images
Tags:
Daily FF
DraftKings
FanDuel
Davante Adams
Brandon Aiyuk
Josh Allen
Keenan Allen
Cole Beasley
Odell Beckham Jr
Tyler Boyd
Tom Brady
A.J. Brown
Antonio Brown
Joe Burrow
Ja'Marr Chase
Nick Chubb
Jared Cook
Amari Cooper
Stefon Diggs
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Austin Ekeler
Ezekiel Elliott
Mike Evans
Leonard Fournette
Jimmy Garoppolo
Chris Godwin
Rob Gronkowski
Mecole Hardman Jr.
Darrell Henderson Jr.
Derrick Henry
Justin Herbert
Tyler Higbee
Tee Higgins
Tyreek Hill
Austin Hooper
Kareem Hunt
Blake Jarwin
Aaron Jones
Julio Jones
Travis Kelce
George Kittle
Cooper Kupp
CeeDee Lamb
Patrick Mahomes II
Baker Mayfield
Joe Mixon
Zack Moss
Donovan Peoples-Jones
Tony Pollard
Dak Prescott
Aaron Rodgers
Deebo Samuel
Emmanuel Sanders
Dalton Schultz
Trey Sermon
Devin Singletary
Matthew Stafford
Geoff Swaim
Ryan Tannehill
Robert Tonyan Jr
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Mike Williams
Robert Woods
Share This ArticleMore by John LeeDraftKings Thursday Showdown: Week 3
John Lee
Our John Lee with DraftKings Thursday Showdown Analysis: Dolphins vs. Bills
09/17/25
Read More
Vegas Value Chart: Week 3
John Lee
Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets
09/15/25
Read More
DraftKings Thursday Showdown: Week 2
John Lee
Our John Lee with DraftKings Thursday Showdown Analysis: Commanders vs. Packers
09/11/25
Read More
Vegas Value Chart: Week 2
John Lee
Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets
09/09/25
Read More
DraftKings Thursday Showdown: Week 1
John Lee
Our John Lee with DraftKings Thursday Showdown Analysis: Cowboys vs. Eagles
09/04/25
Read More
Vegas Value Chart: Week 1
John Lee
Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets
09/03/25
Read More
|