Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason, I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania III tournament a few months ago, excitement has been growing each day. Each week I want to break down what has changed from the previous week when it comes to NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks, we are looking at NFL players, specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week I will look at the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com that was created by Sam Hoppen to examine the top 10 risers and the top 10 fallers at ADP. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news we have coming in that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
Top 10 ADP Risers
| Rank | Player | Position | Team | JULY 24 ADP | ADP Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 171.1 | 11.6 |
| 2 | Kyle Rudolph | TE | TB | 209.3 | 6.7 |
| 3 | Rachaad White | RB | TB | 119.7 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Chase Edmonds | RB | MIA | 95.8 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 104.8 | 4.6 |
| 6 | Kendrick Bourne | WR | NE | 183.3 | 4.6 |
| 7 | Marlon Mack | RB | HOU | 172.2 | 4.4 |
| 8 | J.D. McKissic | RB | WAS | 182.6 | 4.2 |
| 9 | Isaiah Spiller | RB | LAC | 129.7 | 4.1 |
| 10 | Austin Hooper | TE | TEN | 180.5 | 4.1 |
***These ten ADP risers are based on the dates 07/17/2022-07/24/22***
Deshaun Watson continues to be at the top of the ADP risers list for the second straight week as we have to continue to wait on any news on the situation. At 171.6 ADP, you are seeing drafters taking more shots at him, especially in three-quarterback builds, as the risk might be worth the shot right now at the steep discount. Second on the list is Kyle Rudolph, who just signed a one-year deal with Tampa Bay and now enters a committee at the position with Cameron Brate and Cade Otton. Not much to read into the tight end situation right now as it looks like drafters just jumped on the news in this one, and I find it hard to see Rodolph's ADP rising too high in the future. We now see six of the next seven on the list at the running back position as we are at the point in the offseason where we continue to speculate more so at this position for opportunities. Rachaad White is getting a bump based on the negative Leonard Fournette news, and with being a rookie and in such a run-friendly offense, drafters are not wanting to miss out on the potential value. We have Chase Edmonds next, who signed with Miami and is thought to possibly be the number one at the position to start the season. Rhamondre Stevenson is the fifth riser this week as drafters are looking for a breakout player at the position.
The remaining running back on the list are Marlon Mack, J.D. McKissic, and Isaiah Spiller, as they are all intriguing names on their teams' running back depth charts. We have no real idea who the running back will be in Houston as they have a handful of names crowding the depth chart, but Mack looks to have three-down back potential depending on how healthy he is. McKissic will be a third-down option and one that looks locked in to catch passes out of the backfield and will have a role from Week 1 locked in. Spiller is much like White, who looks to be the second option on a team with elite potential to put up points at the position. We will continue to see Spiller and White rise as we lead up to the start of the season. The other two names are veteran players in Kendrick Bourne and Austin Hooper, who might not be flashy names but are on offenses that will have to count on them to contribute. They are some good names to get later in best ball drafts to help float your team week to week.
Top 10 ADP Fallers
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