Cracking DraftKings Week 3

Ben Cummins's Cracking DraftKings Week 3 Ben Cummins Published 09/22/2023

Favorite Fantasy Game Environment

  • Los Angeles Chargers at Minnesota Vikings - Over/Under 53.5

Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots

  • Chiefs at home vs. Bears - Implied Team Total 30
  • Dolphins at home vs. Broncos - Implied Team Total 27.5
  • Ravens at home vs. Colts - Implied Team Total 26
  • Jaguars at home vs. Texans - Implied Team Total 26.5
  • Lions at home vs. Falcons - Implied Team Total 24.8
  • Seahawks at home vs. Panthers - Implied Team Total 23.8
  • Cowboys on the road vs. Cardinals - Implied Team Total 27.8

CASH GAMES

Quarterbacks

Rank Play Opponent Salary
1 Geno Smith vs. Panthers $5,700
2 Kirk Cousins vs. Chargers $6,900
3 Dak Prescott at Cardinals $6,600

Geno Smith is severely underpriced at just $5,700. After a rough Week 1, Smith bounced back last week throwing for 328 yards and 2 touchdowns. And remember, he was awesome last year as he led a Seahawks offense that shockingly ranked sixth in Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) and he ranked 12th in passing yards per game (252) and sixth in pass touchdowns per game (1.8). He plays at home in a decent matchup with Andy Dalton slated to start at quarterback on the other side.

The Chargers at Vikings game has the highest Over/Under (53.5) of the week and Kirk Cousins gets to play at home against a Chargers defense struggling to begin the year as they rank 29th in Expected Points Added (EPA) per Play Allowed and 30th in Dropback EPA Allowed. Meanwhile, Cousins ranks second in passing yards (708) and first in pass touchdowns (6).

The Cowboys are 12.5-point favorites and they have the second-highest Implied Team Total (27.8) on the week. Dak Prescott is set up well against an average at best Cardinals defense. Sure, the Cowboys might sit on a lead late in the game but Prescott could very well be why they have that lead in the first place.

Running Backs

Rank Play Opponent Salary
1 Ken Walker III vs. Panthers $6,200
2 Jerome Ford vs. Titans $4,800
3 Jahmyr Gibbs vs. Falcons $6,600
4 Raheem Mostert vs. Broncos $6,000
5 Brian Robinson Jr vs. Bills $5,800
6 James Cook at Commanders $6,400

The Seahawks are 5.5-point home favorites against a struggling Panthers team and defense that ranks 27th in Rush EPA Allowed. Ken Walker is averaging 18 opportunities per game yet is priced at just $6,200.

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