Week 3 continued to crystallize how passing attacks will shape up for 2025. High-end options in Cincinnati, Minnesota, and Washington had to adjust to backup quarterbacks. Coming out of the week, the injury carousel keeps spinning, with CeeDee Lamb and Mike Evans the big names going down. We will break down the whole league to prepare for Week 4.
The Target Report
I view target trees as "clean" or "dirty." Clean trees distill targets to their top options and give standout fantasy performances. Dirty trees are, well, a mess and rely on unpredictable possibilities. The chart below categorizes these offenses.
Offenses with Top 2 Options > 60% Target Share
Team | Throws | Player | Targets | Stat Line | Target % | Snaps | Snap % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LA Rams | 33 | Puka Nacua | 15 | 11-112-0 | 45.45% | 60 | 91% |
Davante Adams | 8 | 3-56-1 | 24.24% | 57 | 86% | ||
Kyren Williams | 3 | 2-18-1 | 9.09% | 50 | 76% | ||
Philadelphia | 30 | A.J. Brown | 10 | 6-109-1 | 33.33% | 62 | 93% |
DeVonta Smith | 9 | 8-60-1 | 30.00% | 64 | 96% | ||
Saquon Barkley | 5 | 4-9-0 | 16.67% | 63 | 94% | ||
San Francisco | 38 | Christian McCaffrey | 15 | 10-88-0 | 39.47% | 59 | 91% |
Ricky Pearsall | 11 | 8-117-0 | 28.95% | 63 | 97% | ||
Kendrick Bourne | 6 | 4-38-0 | 15.79% | 47 | 72% |
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The Rams are running the cleanest offense in the league. Both Nacua and Adams are performing well at ADP, and there is little indication that this will change.
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Dave Kluge and I discussed the Eagles' passing attack on The Dynasty Show, suggesting that Barkley's slower start to the season was due to defenses adjusting to the light pass volume. The offense opened up in the second half against the Rams, something worth watching.
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McCaffrey's statistical milestones were covered on Monday. Pearsall is off to a great start, though he was quieter in Week 2 when Jauan Jennings got the targets. Jennings should be back in Week 4, and the potential returns of Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle are looming.
Offenses with Top 2 Options > 50% and Top 3 > 70% Target Share