Let's have some fun and try to win a few dollars this season. Here's how this article will work: each week, I'll share my favorite player props, put my own real money behind them, post a screenshot of the bets, and explain why I like each pick. Sometimes the reasoning will come from deep statistical analysis, and other times it'll just be a gut call. For every pick, I'll walk you through my thought process. If it makes sense to you, feel free to tail me.
The goal is simple: end the week with more money in my Underdog account than I started with. At the same time, this is meant to be recreational, geared toward anyone who wants to add a little excitement to the games with a small bet. Most of the picks will lean toward overs, because overs are simply more fun to root for. All else being equal, I'll try to focus on prime-time games and the most entertaining spots on the schedule. However, I won't force plays just to have action on every night game.
How It Works
Underdog Pick'em is a fun twist on daily fantasy games where you predict whether a player will go higher or lower than their projected stats across categories like touchdowns, yards, or fantasy points. To play, simply pick at least two props from two different teams. You can choose player stats like touchdowns, rushing yards, or even fantasy points and predict whether they will go higher or lower than the projected numbers.
Payouts
Underdog Fantasy offers a payout structure that rewards you based on the number of correct selections:
- Two picks: 3x your entry
- Three picks: 6x your entry
- Four picks: 10x your entry
- Five picks: 20x your entry
Tracking Last Week
I will track every Pick Em I make this season and start each week's article with a quick review of what went wrong and what went right the previous week.
- Last Week (3-1), + $40
- Season (26-24), - $91
We posted a third-straight winning week. We had over 0.5 first-quarter receptions for Jameson Williams, which hit. We also had the over on Rashid Shaheed receiving yards (41.5), which he easily topped with 68. Alec Pierce (42.5) easily topped his receiving yardage over, but Jaylen Warren (21.5) did not.
Champions Pick 1
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Has run for 65+ yards in 14 of his last 17 games (82.3%).
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While he’s ceding some snaps to Blake Corum, he remains the lead back in Los Angeles because he does the things coaches love that win games. He ranks third in the NFL with a 50.1% success rate and has been tackled for a loss on just 4.5% of his carries (second-lowest in the league).
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The 49ers give up 108.9 rushing yards per game, and Williams has three straight games against San Francisco with at least 112 total yards.
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Averaged 73.7 receiving yards per game last season. While he is off to a slow start in 2025 due to injuries, he is finally getting healthy and looks poised to be a key contributor down the stretch.
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The 49ers remain banged up at wide receiver. Ricky Pearsall and Brandon Aiyuk will both miss Week 10, and Jauan Jennings is playing with broken ribs.
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Kittle has historically put up great numbers against the Rams, averaging 66.1 receiving yards per game.
49ers TE George Kittle loves playing the Los Angeles Rams...
— FirstSportz NFL (@FirstSportz_NFL) November 7, 2025
61 catches, 860 yards, 6 touchdowns in 13 games#fttb #ramshouse pic.twitter.com/oqP4FUxAVF
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The Rams' defense is good at limiting deep passes and stuffing the run, but vulnerable to players with strong yards-after-catch ability on short passes. When the teams met last month while Kittle was sidelined, Mac Jones threw for 342 yards with Kendrick Bourne (10-142-0), Christian McCaffrey (8-82-1), and Jake Tonges (7-41-1) all having strong showings.
