We are proud to be among the first, if not the first, to publish full projections for the upcoming season, going live just days after the Super Bowl. Publishing detailed projections in early February comes with trade-offs, not the least of which is a near-total lack of clarity on how free agency, cap transactions, and the NFL draft will reshape rosters.
We've been updating our projections in near real time, including during the recent onslaught of free-agent transactions. This version will remain largely stable until we can layer in the April NFL draft, but stable projections don't mean settled debates.
We have a staff of sharp analysts with sharp takes of their own, so I thought it would be worthwhile to solicit their views on the key coin-toss situations that will shape each team's outlook in the coming months. These are important questions where reasonable, informed people can credibly land in very different places. I asked my colleagues to weigh in with one assumption: they were answering strictly through the lens of a standard 0.5-PPR redraft league.
Minnesota Vikings Coin-Toss Questions
- Is Murray a Fantasy Starter?
- How Will Jones and Mason Split Touches?
- Can Hockenson Be Fantasy-Relevant This Year?
- Will Jefferson Be Elite with Murray at Quarterback?
- Is Addison a Fantasy Starter?
Justin Jefferson's 2025 was a disaster. Do you expect him to return to elite (top 6) form this year with Kyler Murray?
Maurile Tremblay: Jefferson's 2025 production was respectable by normal standards, but deeply disappointing for Jefferson. The decline, however, doesn't reflect any erosion in Jefferson's talent. The problem can be traced largely to J.J. McCarthy's erraticism. I do think Kyler Murray's presence pushes Jefferson back into the WR4-WR6 range. The ceiling is a return to WR1 overall, and the floor is reassured by his 1,000 yards last year, even in what everyone considers a disaster season.
Meng Song: It's not guaranteed, but it's definitely possible. In DeAndre Hopkins' only fully healthy season with Arizona in 2020, he was the No. 8 wide receiver in 0.5 PPR points per game. That year was also Kyler Murray's career-high in single-season passing yards and touchdowns. I'd be comfortable drafting Jefferson as a top-six wide receiver in the late first round this year.
Andy Hicks: The 2025 season showed that Justin Jefferson was not quarterback-proof. He still managed to eclipse 1,000 receiving yards, but he did better in 10 games in 2023 than he did with all 17 of them in 2025. Kyler Murray is not the solution for a receiver — we saw how an average quarterback like Jacoby Brissett was able to elevate Michael Wilson and Trey McBride into elite fantasy contributors, something Kyler Murray couldn't replicate. If the team is relying on or stuck with J.J. McCarthy, he'll need to show significant development to restore confidence for Jefferson managers. As it stands, a return to top-six production feels unlikely, and even top-12 or top-24 finishes are far from guaranteed — whether it's Murray, McCarthy, or some combination of the two under center.
Jeff Haseley: YES. Jefferson returns to the top 5. 2025 was a perfect storm of disaster, but Kyler Murray is the best quarterback he's had since peak Kirk Cousins. I am expecting a massive rebound.
