Photo: Brian Spurlock, USA Today Sports

Introduction

Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) is playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.

In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week.

5: Thursday Night 5X

Tom Brady MORE than 300.5 passing yards
Jalen Hurts MORE than 280.5 passing yards
Mike Evans MORE than 74.5 receiving yards

-It is always hard to hit on three at one time but this is a strong correlation play and the opportunity to have some fun going for a 5X to start the week was hard to pass up. If this game is played five times, would it have big passing totals at least once? That is what my numbers say.

"I think they need a shootout. I think Jalen Hurts needs to throw for 400 yards and they hope for a couple turnovers from the Bucs."
@KyleBrandt thinks the #Eagles only path to a win tonight is through the QB pic.twitter.com/Twk6KC65Hz

— GMFB (@gmfb) October 14, 2021

-Tampa Bay’s defense is one of the most extreme pass funnels we have seen in recent years. Teams have almost given up trying to run the ball against this front seven that has allowed 19.0 rushing yards per game over the last two weeks.

-Meanwhile, the Dolphins led by Jacoby Brissett (275 passing yards) are the only team who has not passed for 300+ yards against this banged up secondary.

-Tom Brady has been on fire this season with three games of 379+ passing yards. He is averaging 353.4 passing yards per game.

At 44 years old, will @TomBrady win another MVP? 🐐

📺: #TBvsPHI – TONIGHT (8pm ET) on NFLN/FOX/PRIME VIDEO pic.twitter.com/fQlHT18Lmw

— NFL Network (@nflnetwork) October 14, 2021

-Jalen Hurts is averaging 273 passing yards per game this season and this speedy young wide receiver corps has shown a knack for big plays. With three legitimate 4.4-speedsters to throw to, this offense is built to pick up yardage in chunks. If Hurts hits a couple of big chunk plays tonight, he should fly past 280.5 passing yards.

-Mike Evans has four straight games with 75+ receiving yards. While he could see Darius Slay in coverage against Philadelphia, the emergence of Antonio Brown as another WR1-level talent means Evans is unlikely to get shadowed by the Eagles' top corner.

4: Under in NYC

Matthew Stafford LESS than 306.5 passing yards
Daniel Jones LESS than 250.5 passing yards