Monday Showdown Week 13

Photo: Reinhold Matay, USA Today Sports

Join the Footballguys Daily Update

Start your morning with our roundup of the most important stories in football - with the fantasy insight you need to make league-winning decisions. Delivered straight to your inbox, 100% free.

Subscribe Now

Disclaimer

These contests are intended to be fun as you’re watching the game. It’s incredibly difficult to get a real edge as there are so few options, and in MME contests, there are often many duplicate lineups. One play or one penalty can change the entire outcome of the game.

Game Strategy

The Buccaneers are 3.5-point home favorites and are currently the leaders of the AFC South with just a 5-6 record. Meanwhile, the Saints currently sit in in last place with a 4-8 record. The lean here is a Buccaneers win at home with Tom Brady righting the ship, but balanced lineups are absolutely in play.

INJURY REPORT

• Buccaneers LT Tristan Wirfs OUT
• Leonard Fournette Questionable
• Russell Gage Questionable
• Cameron Brate Questionable
• Marshon Lattimore Questionable

Captain Consideration:

1. Tom Brady
2. Chris Godwin
3. Mike Evans
4. Alvin Kamara

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Quarterback

Tom Brady - Captain/Flex

Tom Brady ranks seventh in passing yards per game (277.4) but just 21st in pass touchdowns per game (1.3). He's still producing but just hasn't thrown as many touchdowns as we've come to expect in Tampa Bay. That could change on Monday night though, because the Buccaneers offense ranks seventh in Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) and sixth in Early Down Pass Frequency (EDPF). Brady gets to play at home and has a great matchup here against a Saints defense that only ranks 24th in EPA/Play Allowed, 20th in Success Rate, and 29th Dropback EPA Allowed.

Running Back/Wide Receiver/Tight End

Chris Godwin - Captain/Flex

Chris Godwin ranks eighth in targets per game (9.6), eighth in receptions per game (6.7), and 22nd in receiving yards per game (65) and coming off Tamps Bay's bye last week, Godwin showed he's healthier now than he was earlier in the season coming off the torn ACL. Godwin has his best game of the season in Week 12, catching 12 of 13 targets for 110 yards and 1 touchdown. Godwin is a must play at home against a Saints defense that only ranks 24th in EPA/Play Allowed, 20th in Success Rate, and 29th Dropback EPA Allowed.