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Not every player makes our list of targets or players to avoid. We still have clarity on the value of some of those players, but there are others that vex us and elude our understanding even when (especially when) we are pondering whether to take them when we are on the clock. Big thanks to my Mon Valley Academic League rival, Joe Wright, for giving me the name 'Rolaids" for these players. You could also call this the "I'm probably not taking them, but worried that I'm wrong" list. Sometimes, it's a relief when you see a player drafted ahead of you, and that's how they make the all-Rolaids team.
Garrett Wilson (WR-NYJ)
Aaron Rodgers made Davante Adams into an elite fantasy option with their pitch and catch game, but Adams was also able to do that with Derek Carr last year, so how much of that was Rodgers? Not that Wilson isn't on Adams' level as a talent and certainly capable of becoming quarterback-proof like Adams will hopefully show with Jimmy Garoppolo this year. It's not difficult to picture Rodgers leaning on Wilson primarily with an already banged-up Allen Lazard and Mecole Hardman as the other top options at wide receiver. What is difficult to picture is the Jets offense overachieving with Nathaniel Hackett as offensive coordinator, Rodgers turning 40 and coming into the season with two injured calves, and the potential for injury collapse at offensive tackle again. I'd rather take Tony Pollard, Josh Jacobs, or Mark Andrews in the second round, but Wilson has a high enough ceiling to be the clear right choice when the dust settles.
Breece Hall (RB-NYJ), Ken Walker III (RB-SEA)
This pair of second-year backs could take their games to a new level this year and defy their depressed ADPs, but there are also good reasons that fantasy players have been backing off of them. Hall seems destined for a slow start workload-wise with Dalvin Cook on the roster, the Jets paying Cook like a starter, and Hall coming back from an October 22 ACL plus injury. He showed enough last year to defy any plans the Jets had to limit his workload, but can he get back to that level this year? Will Dalvin Cook play well enough to make it moot? Walker has already been nursing a groin injury, and the team could find that they like second-round pick Zach Charbonnet as much or even more than Walker. At first glance, Walker's outlook isn't that different from, say, Isiah Pacheco, but even though Walker has already broken the injury seal, he's still more expensive than Pacheco by at least a round. I'd take Dameon Pierce or Alexander Mattison over Hall or Walker and prefer James Cook, David Montgomery, or Pacheco if you can get them a round later than Hall or Walker.
Derrick Henry (RB-TEN)
Henry stayed healthy last year and put up an RB1 season on a team that had a lot of trouble moving the ball. Can he do it again in the season that he turns 30? The Titans offensive line is probably the worst in the league, on paper at least, and Ryan Tannehill could be replaced midseason if the team falls out of contention. Tyjae Spears also presents the best complementary back we've seen in the Titans backfield since Dion Lewis. Still, not a lot of people have made money betting against Henry when he costs anything but a first-round pick.
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