Underdog's Fantasy Pick 'Em is a fun way to test our predictive abilities against the market. The two keys to success are selecting the best players to target and leveraging correlations to improve our odds. You play Pick 'Em by simply choosing "Higher" or "Lower" on at least two player props. If you make the right selection, here's the payout structure:
- Two picks = 3X
- Three picks = 6X
- Four picks = 10X
- Five picks = 20X
In this weekly article, we will list our favorite plays of the week and the reasoning behind them.
Week 10 Review
Overall Picks (8-5 on the week, 73-58-1 on the season)
Overall Units (+7 last week, +25 Units on the season)
(+9 Units, 4-0) Lions-Chargers The Chargers passing stack was a hit. Justin Herbert (260.5) threw for 323 yards. Austin Ekeler (33.5) had 48 receiving yards, and Keenan Allen (79.5) went off for 175 yards. We brought it back on the other side with Amon-Ra St. Brown (6.5), who had eight receptions.
(-1 Unit, 2-2) Steelers-Packers. George Pickens (42.5) and Najee Harris (8.5) both hit their receiving yardage overs, but Kenny Pickett (204.5) was awful and came nowhere near his passing total. Aaron Jones (53.5) also came in under on his rushing total.
(-1 Unit, 2-3) Titans-Buccaneers Baker Mayfield (241.5) easily hit his passing yardage over, and Rachaad White (24.5) also blew past his receiving total. However, it was a rough game for Cade Otton (30.5), who came nowhere close to going over. On the Titans side, Will Levis and DeAndre Hopkins failed to hit their overs despite a pass-heavy game script.
Lessons learned: We stay red-hot, with a fourth-straight winning week. The goal has been to identify the correlated game stacks with the best chance of going over together. It has been working like a charm. Let's stick with the plan.
Week 11 Picks
As the saying goes, "If it ain't broke…" We have been running hot on same-game Pick 'Ems with all selections Higher. We can tilt the odds back into our favor by taking advantage of same-game correlations.
Bears-Lions 10X
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