Tyler Warren: How High is his Ceiling?

The Footballguys staff discusses where to slot Tyler Warren this year, and how important Daniel Jones is to the equation.

Jason Wood's Tyler Warren: How High is his Ceiling? Jason Wood Published 04/20/2026

© Mykal McEldowney-USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images Tyler Warren Indianapolis Colts

We are proud to be among the first, if not the first, to publish full projections for the upcoming season, going live just days after the Super Bowl. Publishing detailed projections in early February comes with trade-offs, not the least of which is a near-total lack of clarity on how free agency, cap transactions, and the NFL draft will reshape rosters.

We've been updating our projections in near real time, including during the recent onslaught of free-agent transactions. This version will remain largely stable until we can layer in the April NFL draft, but stable projections don't mean settled debates.

We have a staff of sharp analysts with sharp takes of their own, so I thought it would be worthwhile to solicit their views on the key coin-toss situations that will shape each team's outlook in the coming months. These are important questions where reasonable, informed people can credibly land in very different places. I asked my colleagues to weigh in with one assumption: they were answering strictly through the lens of a standard 0.5-PPR redraft league.

Indianapolis Colts Coin-Toss Questions


Tyler Warren was TE7 before Daniel Jones got hurt and TE29 after. Where do you rank him this season?

Andy Hicks: Ty Warren was still targeted after Jones went down, but his reception-to-target percentage dropped from almost 75% to around 50%. If Jones starts, Warren should continue in his role as the primary target for the offense, especially with Michael Pittman Jr now in Pittsburgh. After the disappointing sophomore seasons of other rookie standouts such as Sam LaPorta, Brock Bowers, and Kyle Pitts Sr., I'll be a little wary of this year's group — though they far exceed the fantasy potential of most of their competitors. Warren deserves a top-eight ranking. His target share should increase, and I would have him around the TE4 spot.

Jeff Haseley: I rank Tyler Warren as TE10. The split with and without Jones was noticeable, as Jason indicated, proving he needs Jones to be a factor. With Jones back, Warren is a legitimate starter.

Maurile Tremblay: Assuming Daniel Jones is healthy enough to hold the offense together, I'd rank Tyler Warren around TE6. Warren already had 76 catches for 817 yards as a rookie, Pittman is gone, and Warren should be the team's No. 2 pass catcher in 2026. I'd rank him higher if I were more confident that Jones will be fully healthy all season.

Jason Wood's Verdict

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