We are proud to be among the first, if not the first, to publish full projections for the upcoming season, going live just days after the Super Bowl. Publishing detailed projections in early February comes with trade-offs, not the least of which is a near-total lack of clarity on how free agency, cap transactions, and the NFL draft will reshape rosters.
We've been updating our projections in near real time, including during the recent onslaught of free-agent transactions. This version will remain largely stable until we can layer in the April NFL draft, but stable projections don't mean settled debates.
We have a staff of sharp analysts with sharp takes of their own, so I thought it would be worthwhile to solicit their views on the key coin-toss situations that will shape each team's outlook in the coming months. These are important questions where reasonable, informed people can credibly land in very different places. I asked my colleagues to weigh in with one assumption: they were answering strictly through the lens of a standard 0.5-PPR redraft league.
Indianapolis Colts Coin-Toss Questions
- What Tier Is Jones If He's Healthy for Week 1?
- Will the Colts Add a Running Back Behind Taylor?
- Where Does Warren Rank Among Fantasy Tight Ends?
- Can Pierce Handle a Featured Role with 120-Plus Targets?
- Will the Colts Add a No. 2 Receiver, or Can That Be Downs?
Daniel Jones was re-signed and should be healthy for Week 1. Assuming he's in the lineup and healthy, what tier do you put Jones into this season?
Maurile Tremblay: Assuming he's healthy and starts Week 1, I'd put Daniel Jones in the QB9-QB12 range. He played efficient, winning football in 2025, and the team's 8-2 start with him was strong enough that Indianapolis fully committed to him. With Alec Pierce and Tyler Warren still giving him legitimate support, I think he's a solidly above-average NFL starter in this offense. I'd stop short of ranking him higher because the résumé is still short, and there's volatility around the supporting cast and protection. The Achilles injury also matters because some of his fantasy value comes from mobility.
Andy Hicks: Jones was on track to become a QB1 before his season ended prematurely — on a points-per-game basis, he still ranked 12th. Most of that was based on his five rushing touchdowns, though his passing work was a significant improvement over most of his time with the Giants. The biggest concern I have for Jones this year is the loss of Michael Pittman Jr. He had been the heart and soul of the offense and its alpha receiver, and the team chose to throw money at Alec Pierce to keep him in the fold instead. Unless the Colts draft a significant addition, Pittman's presence will be missed. If Jones has one of those freak years with half a dozen rushing touchdowns, he has top-12 upside. Logically, he is more suited to the QB16-20 area — still better than most of his time in New York, but his passing numbers will not be good enough to rank much higher.
Jeff Haseley: Daniel Jones is the definition of a QB2 or QB3, depending on your roster format. He resurrected his career here in 2025 before the Achilles injury. If he's truly 100% for Week 1, he's a solid QB2 in Superflex, but I'm not drafting him to lead my 1QB team.